Traditional Commercial Banking - Guatemala

  • Guatemala
  • In Guatemala, the Traditional Commercial Banking market market is anticipated to achieve a Net Interest Income of US$5.00bn in 2024.
  • It is projected to exhibit a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 4.83%, leading to a market volume of US$6.33bn by 2029.
  • When compared globally, China is expected to generate the highest Net Interest Income, with US$1,444.0bn in 2024.
  • Guatemala's traditional commercial banking market is experiencing a shift towards digital banking, with increased adoption of mobile banking services.

Key regions: China, France, Brazil, Singapore, India

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Traditional Commercial Banking market in Guatemala is experiencing notable developments and trends that are shaping the industry landscape.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Guatemala are increasingly seeking personalized banking services that cater to their individual needs and preferences. They are looking for convenient banking solutions that offer a seamless digital experience while still valuing the importance of in-person interactions with bank representatives. Additionally, there is a growing demand for sustainable banking practices and socially responsible investments among customers in Guatemala.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Traditional Commercial Banking market in Guatemala is the rapid adoption of digital banking solutions. Banks are investing heavily in technology to enhance their service offerings, improve operational efficiency, and reach a wider customer base. Mobile banking, online account management, and digital payment solutions are becoming increasingly popular among Guatemalan consumers. Moreover, there is a trend towards consolidation in the banking sector, with smaller banks seeking partnerships or mergers to remain competitive in the market.

Local special circumstances:
Guatemala's Traditional Commercial Banking market is influenced by the country's unique socio-economic factors. The prevalence of a large unbanked population presents both challenges and opportunities for banks in expanding their reach and promoting financial inclusion. Moreover, political and regulatory factors play a significant role in shaping the banking landscape in Guatemala, with government policies impacting interest rates, lending practices, and overall market stability.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The growth of the Traditional Commercial Banking market in Guatemala is closely tied to the country's overall economic performance. Factors such as GDP growth, inflation rates, and foreign direct investment levels directly impact the banking sector's profitability and growth prospects. Additionally, currency exchange rates and trade dynamics influence the banking industry's exposure to external risks and opportunities. Overall, the Traditional Commercial Banking market in Guatemala is evolving in response to changing customer preferences, technological advancements, and local market dynamics.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Net Interest Income, Bank Account Penetration rate, the value of Deposits, the number of depositors, the value of Loans, the number of borrowers, Credit Card Interest Income, the number of ATMs as well as the number of Bank Branches.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data provided by the IMF, World Bank and the annual reports of the top 1000 Banks by asset size. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, deposit interest rates, lending interest rates or bank account penetration rates. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited to forecast financial services for digital as well as traditional products and services.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Net Interest Income
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Deposits
  • Loans
  • Credit Card Interest Income
  • ATMs & Bank Branches
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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