Private Equity - Guatemala

  • Guatemala
  • In Guatemala, the deal value in the Private Equity market is projected to reach US$5.55m in 2024.
  • It is anticipated that this market will exhibit an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2025) of 9.55%, leading to a projected total amount of US$6.08m by 2025.
  • The average size per deal in the Private Equity market in Guatemala is estimated to be US$2.06m in 2024.
  • When comparing globally, it is observed that the highest deal value occurs the the United States, which stands at US$594.00bn in 2024.
  • Furthermore, in the context of Guatemala's Private Equity market, the number of deals is expected to reach 3.96 by 2025.
  • Guatemala's Private Equity market is increasingly attracting interest as local firms seek innovative solutions to enhance investment opportunities amid economic volatility.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Private Equity market in Guatemala is facing minimal decline, influenced by factors such as economic instability, limited access to capital, and a cautious investor sentiment. These elements hinder growth, impacting overall investment opportunities in the region.

Customer preferences:
In Guatemala, there is a noticeable shift towards investment in sustainable and socially responsible businesses, as consumers become more aware of environmental and social issues. This trend reflects a growing preference for brands that prioritize ethical practices and community involvement. Additionally, the rise of a younger, tech-savvy demographic is fostering interest in innovative startups, particularly in fintech and e-commerce. These factors are reshaping the private equity landscape, as investors seek opportunities that align with evolving consumer values and lifestyles.

Trends in the market:
In Guatemala, the private equity market is increasingly focusing on sustainable investments, with a notable uptick in funds directed towards environmentally conscious projects and socially responsible enterprises. This shift signifies a broader acceptance of ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) criteria among investors. Furthermore, the emergence of innovative startups in fintech and e-commerce driven by a younger demographic is attracting significant capital. As these trends continue, industry stakeholders must adapt their strategies to align with consumer expectations, which may lead to enhanced brand loyalty and market competitiveness.

Local special circumstances:
In Guatemala, the private equity market is uniquely shaped by its geographical location and cultural heritage, which influence investment trends and opportunities. The country’s rich biodiversity and emphasis on sustainable agriculture attract funds aimed at eco-friendly ventures, while its vibrant indigenous cultures promote social enterprises that aim to uplift local communities. Additionally, regulatory reforms aimed at enhancing foreign investment boost confidence among private equity firms. These factors collectively create a distinctive investment landscape, fostering a blend of social impact and economic growth.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The private equity market in Guatemala is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as central bank policies and interest rates. Low-interest rates foster an accessible borrowing environment, encouraging both local and foreign investors to seek out private equity opportunities for higher returns. Additionally, a stable inflation rate and prudent fiscal policies create a favorable economic climate, enticing firms to invest in promising sectors like sustainable agriculture and social enterprises. Conversely, fluctuating interest rates can impact capital availability and investor confidence, altering the dynamics of deal-making and growth potential in the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The figures are based on deal value, number of deals, the average size of each deal, and assets under management within the Private Equity market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of key players, industry reports, third-party reports, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as: GDP, total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), high income (% of population), and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), number of high-income persons, and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI).

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Deal Value
  • Average Deal Size
  • Number of Deals
  • Assets Under Management (AUM)
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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