Traditional Commercial Banking - Cuba

  • Cuba
  • In Cuba, the Traditional Commercial Banking market market is anticipated to witness a significant rise in Net Interest Income, projected to reach US$4.43bn by 2024.
  • This growth is expected to continue with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 2.98%, resulting in a market volume of US$5.13bn by 2029.
  • It is worth noting that in a global perspective, China is expected to generate the highest Net Interest Income, with a projected value of US$1,444.0bn in 2024.
  • Despite economic reforms, Cuba's traditional commercial banking sector remains heavily regulated and limited in its ability to offer innovative financial services.

Key regions: China, France, Brazil, Singapore, India

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Traditional Commercial Banking market in Cuba is experiencing notable developments and trends that are shaping its landscape.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Cuba show a strong inclination towards traditional banking services, preferring face-to-face interactions and personalized services. This preference for in-person banking experiences has been a key driver in the slow adoption of digital banking solutions in the country.

Trends in the market:
One prominent trend in the Cuban Traditional Commercial Banking market is the gradual modernization of services and infrastructure. As the country opens up to foreign investment and tourism, there is a growing need for more sophisticated banking services to cater to the evolving needs of businesses and consumers. This trend is driving banks in Cuba to upgrade their technology and expand their product offerings.

Local special circumstances:
Cuba's unique economic and political situation has had a significant impact on its banking sector. The country's socialist system and centralized economy have historically limited the growth and competitiveness of its banks. However, recent economic reforms and the gradual opening up of the market are creating new opportunities for traditional commercial banks to expand their operations and reach a larger customer base.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The macroeconomic environment in Cuba plays a crucial role in shaping the Traditional Commercial Banking market. Factors such as government policies, trade relations, and foreign investment influence the stability and growth potential of banks in the country. As Cuba continues to navigate economic challenges and implement reforms, traditional commercial banks will need to adapt to changing regulations and market dynamics to stay competitive and meet the needs of their customers.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Net Interest Income, Bank Account Penetration rate, the value of Deposits, the number of depositors, the value of Loans, the number of borrowers, Credit Card Interest Income, the number of ATMs as well as the number of Bank Branches.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data provided by the IMF, World Bank and the annual reports of the top 1000 Banks by asset size. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, deposit interest rates, lending interest rates or bank account penetration rates. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited to forecast financial services for digital as well as traditional products and services.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Net Interest Income
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Deposits
  • Loans
  • Credit Card Interest Income
  • ATMs & Bank Branches
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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