Grocery Delivery - Timor-Leste

  • Timor-Leste
  • The Grocery Delivery market in Timor-Leste is expected to generate a revenue of US$12.26m in 2024.
  • This projection indicates an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 0.05%, leading to a market volume of US$12.29m by 2029.
  • In comparison, the Retail Delivery market is projected to reach a market volume of US$12.26m in 2024.
  • Among all countries, China is anticipated to generate the highest revenue in this market, amounting to US$266.00bn in 2024.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) in the Grocery Delivery market is projected to be US$92.73 in 2024.
  • By 2029, the number of users in this market is expected to reach 208.3k users, indicating its growing popularity.
  • The user penetration in the Grocery Delivery market in Timor-Leste is predicted to be 9.6% in 2024, highlighting the relatively low adoption rate in the country.
  • Despite its challenging infrastructure, the demand for grocery delivery services in Timor-Leste is steadily growing, driven by the convenience it offers to the population.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Grocery Delivery market in Timor-Leste is experiencing significant growth due to various factors.

Customer preferences:
The convenience of online shopping and home delivery has become increasingly popular among customers in Timor-Leste. The COVID-19 pandemic has also accelerated the adoption of online grocery shopping as people look for safer ways to purchase essential items.

Trends in the market:
The Grocery Delivery market in Timor-Leste is still in its early stages, but it is rapidly growing. The market is dominated by local players who offer delivery services through their websites and mobile applications. These companies are expanding their services to reach more customers in different regions of the country. The market is expected to continue growing as more people become comfortable with online shopping.

Local special circumstances:
Timor-Leste is a small country with a population of around 1.3 million people. The country's infrastructure is still developing, and there are limited options for shopping in many areas. Online grocery delivery services are filling this gap by providing access to a wider range of products and delivering them directly to customers' homes. Additionally, the country's geography and rugged terrain make it difficult to transport goods, making delivery services even more important.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
Timor-Leste is one of the poorest countries in Southeast Asia, with a GDP per capita of around $1,500. However, the country has experienced steady economic growth in recent years, and the government is investing in infrastructure and technology to support this growth. The increasing availability of mobile phones and internet access is also driving the growth of online shopping in the country. As the economy continues to develop, it is likely that the Grocery Delivery market in Timor-Leste will continue to grow as well.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) and represent what consumers pay for these products and services. The user metrics show the number of customers who have made at least one online purchase within the past 12 months.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on predefined factors for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies, third-party studies and reports, as well as survey results from our primary research (e.g., the Statista Global Consumer Survey). In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, GDP per capita, and internet connection speed. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are internet users, urban population, usage of key players, and attitudes toward online services.

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. GCS data is reweighted for representativeness.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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