Cheese - China | Statista Market Forecast

Cheese - China

China

Highlights

Revenue in the Cheese Market is projected to reach US$3.49bn in 2025.
Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2025-2029) of 8.97%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$4.92bn by 2029.
With a projected market volume of US$6.63bn in 2025, most revenue is generated United States.
In the Cheese Market, the number of users is expected to amount to 105.0m users by 2029.
User penetration will be 6.1% in 2025 and is expected to hit 7.5% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to amount to US$45.21.

Market definitionIn-Scope/Out-of-scopeMarket structureReportsMethodology

The Cheese eCommerce market within the Dairy Products & Eggs sector in China is experiencing considerable growth, fueled by rising consumer demand for diverse cheese options, increasing online shopping convenience, and greater awareness of cheese's nutritional benefits.

Customer preferences: Chinese consumers are increasingly exploring gourmet and international culinary experiences, resulting in a growing appetite for premium and artisanal cheeses. This trend is particularly prominent among younger, urban populations who prioritize quality and authenticity in their food choices. Additionally, the rise of social media influencers promoting cheese pairings and recipes has fostered a community of enthusiasts eager to experiment with diverse cheese varieties. Furthermore, health-conscious consumers are gravitating towards cheeses with lower fat and higher protein content, reflecting a broader focus on balanced diets and nutrition.

Trends in the market: In China, the cheese eCommerce market is experiencing a significant surge as consumers embrace gourmet and international culinary options, leading to an increased demand for premium cheeses. Urban millennials and Gen Z are particularly driving this trend, showcasing a preference for quality and authenticity in their food choices. Social media platforms play a crucial role in this shift, with influencers promoting cheese pairings and innovative recipes, thus creating a vibrant community of cheese enthusiasts. This trend indicates a shift towards more diverse dietary preferences and poses opportunities for industry stakeholders to cater to health-conscious consumers seeking lower-fat, higher-protein cheeses.

Local special circumstances: In China, the cheese eCommerce market is shaped by unique local factors such as regional taste preferences and the growing influence of Western cuisine. The country's vast geography contributes to diverse culinary traditions, prompting local consumers to explore gourmet cheese options. Additionally, cultural shifts towards health and wellness are encouraging a preference for artisanal products, leading to increased demand for organic and low-fat cheeses. Regulatory support for dairy imports further enhances market access, allowing international brands to thrive alongside local producers. This dynamic fosters innovation and competition in the sector.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Cheese eCommerce market in China is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as rising disposable incomes, urbanization trends, and the shift towards premium food products. As the economy continues to grow, consumers are increasingly willing to spend on quality dairy items, particularly gourmet and imported cheeses. Additionally, government support for the agriculture sector, including dairy, and favorable trade agreements are facilitating easier access to international products, thus enhancing market variety. The overall health of the national economy and trends towards health-conscious eating further drive the demand for diverse cheese offerings in the eCommerce space.

Data coverage:

Data refers to B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the sale of physical goods via a digital channel to a private end consumer. This definition encompasses purchases via desktop computers (including notebooks and laptops) as well as purchases via mobile devices (e.g., smartphones and tablets). The following are not included in the eCommerce market: digitally distributed services (see instead: eServices), digital media downloads or streams, digitally distributed goods in B2B markets, and the digital purchase or resale of used, defective, or repaired goods (reCommerce and C2C). All monetary figures refer to the annual gross revenue and do not factor in shipping costs.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, third-party studies and reports, survey results from our primary research (e.g., Statista Consumer Insights Global Survey), data on shopping behavior (e.g., Google Trends, Alibaba Trends), and performance factors (e.g., user penetration, price/product). Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and population. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited for forecasting digital products and services due to the non-linear growth of technology adoption. The main drivers are GDP per capita, consumer spending per capita, internet penetration, and population.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is considered at a country-specific level. The impact of the Russia/Ukraine war is considered at a country-specific level.

Cheese - China

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