Market Insights Digital Online Food Delivery Grocery Delivery

Retail Delivery - Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka

The Reail Delivery market in Sri Lanka is set to experience significant growth in the coming years.
By 2024, the projected revenue is expected to reach US$772.60m.
This promising trend is anticipated to continue with an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2028) of 20.13%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$1,609.00m by 2028.
As the market expands, the number of users is also expected to increase.
By 2028, it is estimated that the number of users in the Reail Delivery market in Sri Lanka will reach 3.3m users.
This growth in user base is reflected in the rising user penetration, which is projected to be 10.0% in 2024 and is expected to reach 13.4% by 2028.
In terms of revenue per user, the average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be US$314.80.
This indicates the potential for revenue generation per individual user in the Reail Delivery market in Sri Lanka.
When compared globally, it is worth noting that in the United States is anticipated to generate the highest revenue in the Reail Delivery market, with an estimated revenue of US$195,400.00m in 2024.
This showcases the significant market size and potential in the United States.
Furthermore, in terms of user penetration, in the United States is expected to have the highest rate at 30.7% in the Reail Delivery market.
This highlights the market's strong presence and adoption in the United States.
Overall, the Reail Delivery market in Sri Lanka is poised for growth, with promising revenue projections, increasing user base, and potential for revenue generation per user.
In Sri Lanka, the retail delivery market is experiencing a surge in online grocery shopping, driven by the convenience and safety it offers amidst the ongoing pandemic.

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Analyst Opinion

The Retail Delivery market of Online Grocery Delivery dominates the market. Retailers were able to scale their online channels rapidly during the COVID-19 lockdowns to meet the exponential rise in customer demand. Retailers still need to look for ways to attract more customers to keep up with the competition. Walmart for example introduced a service where the delivery driver would deliver groceries to the customer’s fridge.

The growth rates of 2022 will see a slight decline in comparison to 2020 and 2021 due to the uncertainty of macroeconomic factors. Although China has a steady lead over the rest of the regions, the U.S. market shows strong growth signals in our forecast. This is due to the high demand and rapid rise of grocery spending per capita.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) and represent what consumers pay for these products and services. The user metrics show the number of customers who have made at least one online purchase within the past 12 months.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on predefined factors for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies, third-party studies and reports, as well as survey results from our primary research (e.g., the Statista Global Consumer Survey). In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, GDP per capita, and internet connection speed. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are internet users, urban population, usage of key players, and attitudes toward online services.

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. GCS data is reweighted for representativeness.