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Matchmaking - Estonia

Estonia
  • Revenue in the Matchmaking market is projected to reach US$783.10k in 2024.
  • Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2028) of 0.22%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$789.90k by 2028.
  • In the Matchmaking market, the number of users is expected to amount to 14.4k users by 2028.
  • User penetration will be 1.1% in 2024 and is expected to hit 1.1% by 2028.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to amount to US$54.81.
  • In global comparison, most revenue will be generated China (US$1.21bn in 2024).
  • With a projected rate of 3.8%, the user penetration in the Matchmaking market is highest South Korea.

Definition:

The Matchmaking market contains online services for the systematic search for partners by means of psychological tests or questionnaires. The main characteristic of these services is the fact that registered members search for life partners who are willing to enter into a long-term committed relationship. Furthermore, matchmaking services automatically recommend potential partners to their users. These suggestions are based primarily on personality tests, which can determine a suitable partner by means of matching algorithms.

Additional Information

Data includes revenue figures in Gross Merchandise Value (GMV), Users, average revenue per user (ARPU), and user penetration rate. User and revenue figures represent B2C services.

In-Scope

  • Matchmaking for the search for life partners
  • Matchmaking portals and apps that use mathematical algorithms to generate matches

Out-Of-Scope

  • Offline matchmaking services
  • Apps and portals that create matches based on users location (e.g. Spotted)
  • Apps and portals that create matches based on simple demographic criteria (e.g. Badoo)
  • Niche dating, such as portals or apps for vegetarians
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Study Details

    Revenue

    Notes: Data was converted from local currencies using average exchange rates of the respective year.

    Most recent update: Mar 2024

    Source: Statista Market Insights

    Notes: The chart “Comparable Estimates” shows the forecasted development of the selected market from different sources. Please see the additional information for methodology and publication date.

    Most recent update: Mar 2024

    Most recent update: Mar 2024

    Source: Statista Market Insights

    Analyst Opinion

    The Matchmaking market in Estonia is experiencing significant growth and development due to changing customer preferences, emerging trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors.

    Customer preferences:
    In recent years, there has been a shift in customer preferences towards online matchmaking platforms in Estonia. This can be attributed to the convenience and accessibility offered by these platforms, allowing individuals to connect with potential partners from the comfort of their own homes. Furthermore, the younger generation in Estonia is increasingly embracing technology and digital solutions, making online matchmaking platforms a popular choice among this demographic.

    Trends in the market:
    One of the key trends in the matchmaking market in Estonia is the rise of niche matchmaking platforms. These platforms cater to specific interests or demographics, such as professionals, seniors, or individuals with specific hobbies or interests. This trend reflects the growing demand for personalized matchmaking services that cater to the unique needs and preferences of individuals in Estonia. Another trend in the market is the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning algorithms in matchmaking platforms. These technologies analyze user data and preferences to provide more accurate and relevant matches, enhancing the overall matchmaking experience. This trend is driven by the increasing adoption of AI and machine learning in various industries and the desire for more efficient and effective matchmaking services.

    Local special circumstances:
    Estonia has a relatively small population compared to other countries, which presents both challenges and opportunities for the matchmaking market. On one hand, the smaller pool of potential matches can make it more difficult for individuals to find compatible partners. On the other hand, this creates a sense of community and exclusivity within the matchmaking market, with individuals seeking out platforms that cater specifically to the Estonian market.

    Underlying macroeconomic factors:
    The growing popularity of the matchmaking market in Estonia can also be attributed to underlying macroeconomic factors. Estonia has experienced steady economic growth in recent years, leading to increased disposable income and a higher standard of living. This has resulted in individuals being more willing to invest in matchmaking services to find compatible partners. Furthermore, Estonia has a high rate of internet penetration and smartphone usage, providing a strong foundation for the growth of online matchmaking platforms. The widespread use of technology and digital platforms in Estonia has created a favorable environment for the development of the matchmaking market. In conclusion, the matchmaking market in Estonia is developing rapidly due to changing customer preferences, emerging trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. The shift towards online platforms, the rise of niche matchmaking services, the integration of AI and machine learning, and the country's favorable economic and technological environment all contribute to the growth and success of the matchmaking market in Estonia.

    Users

    Most recent update: Mar 2024

    Source: Statista Market Insights

    Global Comparison

    Most recent update: Mar 2024

    Source: Statista Market Insights

    Methodology

    Data coverage:

    The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) and represent what consumers pay for these products and services. The user metrics show the number of customers who have made at least one online purchase within the past 12 months.

    Modeling approach / Market size:

    Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies, third-party studies and reports, as well as survey results from our primary research (e.g., the Statista Global Consumer Survey). In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, GDP per capita, and internet connection speed. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

    Forecasts:

    In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing. The main drivers are internet users, urban population, usage of key players, and attitudes toward online services.

    Additional notes:

    The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. GCS data is reweighted for representativeness.

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    Key Market Indicators

    Notes: Based on data from IMF, World Bank, UN and Eurostat

    Most recent update: Sep 2024

    Source: Statista Market Insights

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