Coffee - Ethiopia

Coffee continues to thrive as one of the most consumed beverages globally.

One notable trend in the coffee market is the growing demand for specialty coffee. Consumers are seeking unique and high-quality coffee experiences while exploring various flavor profiles.

Also, coffee brewing methods continue to evolve, offering consumers diverse and personalized coffee experiences. Alternative brewing methods like capsule coffee, AeroPress, and cold brew have gained popularity. These methods allow coffee lovers to experiment with different brewing techniques, extraction times, and flavor profiles, enhancing their overall coffee enjoyment.

Another significant trend in the coffee market is the increasing emphasis on sustainability and ethical sourcing. Consumers are becoming more conscious of the environmental and social impact of coffee production. They seek out brands that prioritize fair trade practices, promote sustainable farming methods, and support the livelihoods of coffee farmers. This trend has led to the rise of certifications like Rainforest Alliance and Fairtrade, which assure consumers that the coffee they purchase meets certain social and environmental standards.

The coffee market is expected to continue its upward trend, driven by factors such as expanding coffee consumption in emerging markets, premiumization, and the rising demand of organic and fairly traded products.

Data coverage:
The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on private Household spendings on Hot Drinks. At-home market data covers retail sales via super- and hypermarkets, eCommerce, convenience stores, and similar sales channels. Out-of-home market data includes all sales in hotels and restaurants, sales by catering companies, as well as sales in cafés, bars, and similar hospitality service establishments.
In the out-of-home market, the price always refers to the price per kilogram of the beverage consumed, regardless of other components in the finished beverage.

Modeling approach:
Market sizes are determined through a Top-Down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as production data, region, and price level index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:
In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Hot Drinks market with a projected steady growth.

Additional notes:
The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level.