Italy: voting intentions 2022-2024

After the 2022 elections, Brothers of Italy (FdI) further increased its consensus, reaching more than 30 percent of the preferences at the beginning of 2023. Since then, however, the share of electors declaring to support the party slightly but constantly decreased, as mirrored by the negative opinion that Italians have of Giorgia Meloni's government, FdI's leader. The party's consensus settled to the 2022 in May 2024. However, the party was able to regain a significant share of votes in the European Elections, securing 29 percent of voters' consensus. The two main opposition parties, the Democratic Party (PD) and the Five-Star Movement (M5S), could not reach FdI's popular support, as they have oscillated between 15 and 20 percent of the votes. Still, PD could win 24 percent of consensus in the EU Parliament elections. Forza Italia and the League constitute FdI's coalition partners, and their share of consensus was around eight percent.

Voting intentions in Italy from September 2022 to June 2024

Characteristic	Brothers of Italy	Democratic Party	Five-Star Movement	Forza Italia	League	Greens and Left Alliance	Action	Italia Viva	More Europe
September 2022*	26%	19.1%	15.4%	8.1%	8.8%	3.6%	-	-	2.8%
December 2022	30.3%	15.5%	18.1%	6.9%	9.1%	4.3%	-	-	2.6%
February 2023	31.1%	16.9%	17.2%	6.7%	7.6%	4.2%	-	-	2.1%
March 2023	28.8%	20.6%	15.9%	6.5%	8.1%	4.3%	-	-	2%
June 2023	30.2%	20.3%	16.6%	7%	8.3%	4.1%	3.1%	2.2%	2.3%
September 2023	30.4%	20.8%	17.1%	5.9%	7.4%	4.4%	3.6%	2.7%	1.8%
October 2023	29.9%	20.6%	16.6%	6.8%	8.5%	3.6%	3.9%	2.1%	2.7%
November 2023	29.7%	19.4%	16.9%	7%	8.1%	3.8%	3.4%	2.5%	2.1%
December 2023	29.3%	18.9%	17.6%	6.8%	8.1%	3.7%	4%	2.1%	2.7%
January 2024	29.6%	19.1%	16.8%	6.5%	8%	4.4%	3.6%	2.2%	2.5%
February 2024	28.1%	19%	15.8%	7.8%	8.8%	4.3%	3.7%	3%	2.6%
March 2024	27.8%	20.2%	15.2%	7.7%	8.2%	4.7%	3.2%	3.5%	3.2%
April 2024	26.6%	19.9%	16.4%	8.4%	8%	4.2%	3.7%	4%	4%
May 2024	26.3%	20.9%	15.5%	8.8%	8.3%	4.1%	4%	4%	4%
June 2024**	28.8%	24.1%	10%	9.6%	9%	6.7%	3.4%	3.8%	3.8%

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Release date

June 2024

More information

Region

Italy

Survey time period

June 8th to 9th, 2024

Number of respondents

1,000 respondents

Age group

18 years and older

Supplementary notes

* General elections result.

** European elections result.

Action and Italia Viva, which contested as a unique list in the 2022 elections, decided to split the alliance and to continue as single parties from April 2023.

Italia Viva and More Europe constituted the common list “United States of Europe” for the European elections 2024.

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