Projected percent undercount during U.S. Census by risk scenario and age 2019

Projected percent undercount during the 2020 U.S. Census in 2019, by risk scenario and age

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Release date

June 2019

Region

United States

Survey time period

2019

Supplementary notes

Undercounts are expressed as negatives and overcounts are expressed as positives.

A low risk scenario is considered by the source to be a 2020 Census that would be carried out with the same level of success and accuracy as the 2010 Census and that demographics have changed as expected.
A medium risk scenario is considered to be if the 2020 Census is executed as planned by the U.S. Census Bureau using parameters from the 2020 Census Operational Plan and a response rate of 60.5 percent.
A high risk scenario is considered to be if the 2020 Census performs below expectations with a response rate of 55.5 percent and the inclusion of the citizenship question.

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