Cruises - Turkmenistan

  • Turkmenistan
  • By 2024, the projected revenue in the Cruises market is expected to reach US$3.41m.
  • Looking ahead, this market is forecasted to exhibit an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 3.35%, which will result in a projected market volume of US$4.02m by 2029.
  • In Turkmenistan, the number of users in the Cruises market is expected to amount to 7.11k users by 2029.
  • Moreover, the user penetration rate is expected to increase from 0.07% in 2024 to 0.10% by 2029.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to amount to US$0.69k.
  • Additionally, it is estimated that 18% of the total revenue in the Cruises market will be generated through online sales by 2029.
  • Finally, in global comparison, United States is expected to generate the most revenue in this market, with a projected revenue of US$24,700m in 2024.
  • Despite being landlocked, Turkmenistan's growing middle class is showing interest in river cruises as a luxurious and exotic vacation option.

Key regions: Indonesia, Singapore, United States, India, Vietnam

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Cruises market in Turkmenistan is showing signs of gradual development and growth, reflecting a shift in consumer preferences towards experiential travel and leisure activities.

Customer preferences:
Travelers in Turkmenistan are increasingly seeking unique and immersive experiences, opting for cruise vacations to explore different destinations in a convenient and luxurious manner. The appeal of all-inclusive packages, onboard amenities, and the opportunity to visit multiple destinations without the hassle of planning individual itineraries are driving the demand for cruises among tourists in Turkmenistan.

Trends in the market:
One notable trend in the Turkmenistan cruise market is the rising interest in themed cruises that cater to specific interests such as cultural heritage, gastronomy, or adventure activities. Cruise operators are introducing themed itineraries to attract niche segments of the market and offer tailored experiences to passengers. Additionally, there is a growing demand for shorter cruise durations among busy professionals and younger travelers looking for quick getaway options.

Local special circumstances:
Turkmenistan's strategic location along the Caspian Sea presents unique opportunities for cruise operators to offer coastal cruises with stops at historic ports and scenic locations. The country's rich cultural heritage and architectural landmarks also make it an attractive destination for cruise tourism. Moreover, the government's efforts to promote tourism and improve infrastructure are contributing to the growth of the cruise market in Turkmenistan.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The improving economic conditions in Turkmenistan, coupled with a rising middle-class population with disposable income, are fueling the demand for leisure travel, including cruises. As more travelers seek experiential and luxury vacations, the cruise market is poised to expand further in Turkmenistan. Additionally, increasing international collaborations and partnerships in the tourism sector are enhancing the visibility of Turkmenistan as a cruise destination, attracting both regional and international cruise operators to the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and sales channels of cruises.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, the Global Consumer Survey, third-party studies and reports, data from industry associations (e.g., UNWTO), and price data of major players in respective markets. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as country-related GDP, demographic data (e.g., population), tourism spending, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device penetration. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied. A k-means cluster analysis allows for the estimation of similar countries. The main drivers are tourism GDP per capita and respective price indices.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Sales Channels
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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