Cruises - Saudi Arabia | Statista Market Forecast

Saudi Arabia is expected to witness a remarkable growth in the Cruises market as the revenue is projected to reach US$47.36m by 2024, with an annual growth rate of 4.18% from 2024 to 2029.
As a result, the market volume is expected to hit US$58.13m by 2029.
The number of users in this market is forecasted to increase to 99.87k users by 2029, with a user penetration of 0.16% in 2024, which is expected to rise to 0.25% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to reach US$805.50.
It is projected that online sales will contribute to 21% of total revenue in the Cruises market by 2029.
In comparison to other countries, United States is expected to generate the most revenue, reaching US$25bn in 2024.
Saudi Arabia's recent investment in developing its tourism industry has led to an increased demand for luxury cruises in the Red Sea.

Definition:

A cruise is a multi-day vacation trip on a cruise ship which crosses the sea or large inland waters while calling at different tourist destinations along a certain route. With this kind of ship journey, it is not the aspect of transport that is in the spotlight but the stay aboard the ship as well as visiting the tourist destinations. The Cruises market encompasses exclusively passenger ticket revenues. Onboard and other revenues are not included.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Cruises market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), users and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues. Users represent the aggregated number of guests. Each user is only counted once per year.

The booking volume includes all booked travels made by users from the selected region, independent of the departure and arrival. The scope includes domestic and outbound travel.

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Multi-day cruises
Ocean cruises and river cruises

Trips by ferry (including trips with overnight stay)
Trips by ferry mainly for transport purposes

The Cruises market in Saudi Arabia has been experiencing significant growth and development in recent years.

Customer preferences: Customers in Saudi Arabia are increasingly drawn to luxury cruise experiences that offer high-end amenities and services. The demand for cruises that provide unique and culturally immersive experiences is on the rise, as travelers seek to explore new destinations and engage in authentic local activities.

Trends in the market: One notable trend in the Saudi Arabian Cruises market is the growing interest in domestic cruises along the Red Sea coast. As the government invests in developing the country's tourism infrastructure, more cruise operators are expanding their offerings to include domestic routes that showcase the natural beauty and historical sites of Saudi Arabia. Additionally, themed cruises focusing on wellness, adventure, and family-friendly experiences are gaining popularity among Saudi travelers.

Local special circumstances: Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 initiative, which aims to diversify the country's economy and promote tourism, has had a significant impact on the Cruises market. The government's efforts to ease visa restrictions, develop tourist destinations, and enhance transportation networks have created a favorable environment for the growth of the cruise industry. Moreover, the country's strategic location along major maritime routes has positioned Saudi Arabia as a key player in the regional cruise market.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The increasing disposable income and changing lifestyles of Saudi consumers are driving the growth of the Cruises market in the country. As more individuals prioritize experiences and leisure travel, the demand for cruise vacations is expected to continue rising. Furthermore, the government's investments in tourism infrastructure and promotional campaigns to attract international cruise operators are contributing to the expansion of the market.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and sales channels of cruises.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, the Global Consumer Survey, third-party studies and reports, data from industry associations (e.g., UNWTO), and price data of major players in respective markets. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as country-related GDP, demographic data (e.g., population), tourism spending, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device penetration. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied. A k-means cluster analysis allows for the estimation of similar countries. The main drivers are tourism GDP per capita and respective price indices.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

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