Train Tickets - Brazil | Statista Market Forecast

By 2024, Brazil's Train Tickets market is projected to generate revenue of US$208.80m.
Furthermore, it is expected to experience an annual growth rate of 2.16% (CAGR 2024-2029), resulting in a projected market volume of US$232.30m by 2029.
In terms of users, the Train Tickets market in Brazil is expected to have 7.79m users users by 2029, with a user penetration rate of 3.1% for both 2024 and 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be US$30.50.
Moreover, 54% of the total revenue in the Train Tickets market is projected to come from online sales by 2029.
When compared globally, China is expected to generate the most revenue in the Train Tickets market, reaching US$72bn by 2024.
Brazil's railway market is undergoing a revival, with government investments and private sector participation driving growth in both freight and passenger markets.

Definition:

The Train tickets market consists of tickets for long-distance travel or cross-regional travel by train. This includes country-specific providers of passenger rail transport such as Deutsche Bahn, Amtrak or National Rail. As a rule, travel for single passengers and groups or time-limited subscription based travel can be booked up to a year in advance. Tickets for public transport, for within a city or other local travel are not included.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Train tickets market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

For further information on the data displayed, refer to the info button right next to each box.

Tickets for long-distance travel or cross-regional travel by train
Time-limited subscription based travel
Line service and regular train service
All online and offline booked long-distance bus tickets regardless of the purchase channel

Tickets for public transport, for within a city or other local travel

The Trains market in Brazil has been experiencing significant growth in recent years, driven by a combination of customer preferences, market trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors.

Customer preferences: Customers in Brazil are increasingly opting for train travel due to its convenience, affordability, and environmental benefits. Trains offer a reliable mode of transportation, especially for long distances, and are often seen as a more comfortable alternative to buses or airplanes. Additionally, the growing awareness of environmental issues has led to a shift in customer preferences towards more sustainable modes of transportation, with trains being a popular choice.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Brazilian Trains market is the expansion of railway infrastructure. The government has been investing heavily in the development and modernization of railway networks, which has resulted in improved connectivity and increased train services across the country. This expansion has not only benefited passengers but also facilitated the transportation of goods, leading to a boost in freight train services. Another trend in the market is the introduction of high-speed trains. Brazil has been exploring the possibility of implementing high-speed rail systems to connect major cities and reduce travel time. This is expected to further enhance the attractiveness of train travel and drive the growth of the Trains market.

Local special circumstances: Brazil has a vast and diverse geography, with long distances between major cities. This makes train travel an attractive option for both passengers and freight transportation. Trains can efficiently cover long distances, offering a cost-effective and time-saving alternative to other modes of transportation, particularly in regions where road infrastructure is limited or congested. Furthermore, Brazil has a large population and a growing middle class, which has increased the demand for affordable and reliable transportation options. Trains provide an accessible mode of travel for a wide range of income groups, contributing to the growth of the Trains market.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The growth of the Trains market in Brazil is also influenced by underlying macroeconomic factors. Brazil has been experiencing economic stability and steady GDP growth, which has resulted in increased disposable income and consumer spending. This has positively impacted the demand for transportation services, including train travel. Additionally, government initiatives and investments in infrastructure development have played a crucial role in driving the growth of the Trains market. The government's focus on improving transportation networks and promoting sustainable modes of travel has created a favorable environment for the expansion of the Trains market in Brazil. In conclusion, the Trains market in Brazil is witnessing significant growth due to customer preferences for convenience and sustainability, market trends such as railway expansion and high-speed trains, local special circumstances including long distances and limited road infrastructure, and underlying macroeconomic factors such as economic stability and government investments in infrastructure development.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of train tickets.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

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