Ride-hailing - Central Asia

  • Central Asia
  • Central Asia is expected to witness a significant growth in the Ride-hailing market in the coming years.
  • According to the projections, the revenue in this market is expected to reach US$138.50m by 2024, with an annual growth rate of 10.45% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • As a result, the market volume is expected to reach US$227.70m by 2029.
  • The number of users in this market is also expected to increase and reach 22.85m users by 2029.
  • User penetration is projected to be 19.3% in 2024 and 27.1% by 2029.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be US$9.05.
  • Furthermore, the projections suggest that 100% of the total revenue in the Ride-hailing market will be generated through online sales by 2029.
  • It is worth noting that in global comparison, China is expected to generate the most revenue in this market, with a projection of US$59,560m in 2024.
  • In Central Asia, ride-hailing services like Yandex.Taxi in Russia and Careem in the UAE are gaining traction in countries like Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan.

Key regions: South America, Europe, China, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Ride-hailing market in Central Asia has been experiencing significant growth in recent years, driven by changing customer preferences, emerging trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Central Asia are increasingly turning to ride-hailing services due to the convenience and affordability they offer. Ride-hailing platforms provide a convenient way for customers to book a ride with just a few taps on their smartphones, eliminating the need to wait on the street for a taxi. Additionally, ride-hailing services often offer competitive pricing, making them an attractive option for cost-conscious customers.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the ride-hailing market in Central Asia is the increasing adoption of cashless payment options. Many ride-hailing platforms have introduced digital payment methods, allowing customers to pay for their rides using credit cards or mobile wallets. This trend is driven by the growing penetration of smartphones and the increasing acceptance of digital payments in the region. Another trend in the market is the expansion of ride-hailing services beyond major cities. Initially, ride-hailing services were primarily available in the capital cities of Central Asian countries. However, ride-hailing platforms have been expanding their operations to secondary cities and even rural areas, catering to a wider customer base.

Local special circumstances:
Central Asia is characterized by a large population of young, tech-savvy individuals who are quick to adopt new technologies. This demographic trend has contributed to the rapid growth of the ride-hailing market in the region. Additionally, the region's high population density in urban areas creates a strong demand for convenient transportation options, further driving the growth of ride-hailing services.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The ride-hailing market in Central Asia is also influenced by underlying macroeconomic factors. Economic growth in the region has led to an increase in disposable income, allowing more people to afford ride-hailing services. Furthermore, the region's improving infrastructure, including better road networks and increased internet connectivity, has made it easier for ride-hailing platforms to operate and expand their services. In conclusion, the ride-hailing market in Central Asia is experiencing significant growth due to changing customer preferences, emerging trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. The convenience and affordability of ride-hailing services, the adoption of cashless payment options, the expansion of services to secondary cities, and the region's young and tech-savvy population are all contributing to the growth of the market. Additionally, economic growth and improving infrastructure in the region are creating favorable conditions for the ride-hailing industry to thrive.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings and revenues of ride-hailing services.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Sales Channels
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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