Public Transportation - Philippines

  • Philippines
  • The Philippines is projected to see revenue in the Public Transportation market reach US$0.83bn by 2024.
  • Additionally, the market is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 3.80%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$1.00bn by 2029.
  • The number of users in the Public Transportation market is also expected to increase to 86.11m users by 2029.
  • User penetration, on the other hand, is projected to be 60.0% in 2024 and 67.4% by 2029.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to amount to US$11.65.
  • Furthermore, it is projected that 22% of total revenue in the Public Transportation market will be generated through online sales by 2029.
  • In a global comparison, United States will generate the most revenue in the Public Transportation market, with US$52bn in 2024.
  • The Philippines' public transportation market is undergoing a major overhaul with the government's push for modernization and introduction of new technologies.

Key regions: South America, Malaysia, China, Thailand, United States

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Public Transportation market in Philippines has been experiencing significant growth in recent years. Customer preferences have shifted towards more sustainable and convenient modes of transportation, leading to increased demand for public transportation services. This trend can be attributed to several factors, including the growing urban population, rising fuel prices, and increasing environmental awareness.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Philippines are increasingly opting for public transportation due to its affordability and convenience. With the growing urban population, traffic congestion has become a major issue, leading to longer commutes and increased travel times. As a result, people are turning to public transportation as a more efficient and time-saving option. Additionally, the rising cost of fuel has made private car ownership more expensive, further incentivizing people to choose public transportation.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Public Transportation market in Philippines is the expansion and modernization of existing transport infrastructure. The government has been investing heavily in the development of new transport systems, such as metro lines, bus rapid transit (BRT) systems, and light rail transit (LRT) networks. These projects aim to improve connectivity within and between cities, reduce traffic congestion, and provide faster and more reliable public transportation options. Another trend in the market is the adoption of technology-enabled solutions. Many public transportation operators in Philippines are leveraging technology to enhance the customer experience and improve operational efficiency. This includes the introduction of cashless payment systems, real-time tracking and scheduling apps, and smart ticketing solutions. These innovations make it easier for customers to access and use public transportation services, further driving the demand for such services.

Local special circumstances:
The geography and urban layout of Philippines present unique challenges for public transportation. The country is made up of multiple islands, which requires efficient inter-island transportation systems. Additionally, the urban areas are characterized by dense populations and limited road infrastructure, making it essential to develop efficient and sustainable modes of public transportation.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The growing economy of Philippines has contributed to the development of the Public Transportation market. As the country experiences economic growth, more people are able to afford public transportation services. Additionally, the government's focus on infrastructure development and urban planning has provided a conducive environment for the growth of the public transportation sector. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Philippines is experiencing significant growth due to changing customer preferences, including the increasing demand for sustainable and convenient modes of transportation. The expansion and modernization of transport infrastructure, adoption of technology-enabled solutions, unique local circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors all contribute to the development of the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Sales Channels
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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