Public Transportation - Montenegro

Montenegro is projected to reach a revenue of US$44.11m in the Public Transportation market by 2024.
The revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 2.59%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$50.13m by 2029.
By 2029, the number of users in the Public Transportation market is expected to amount to 492.60k users.
The projected user penetration is 74.3% in 2024 and 79.1% by 2029.
The expected average revenue per user (ARPU) is US$94.82.
By 2029, 21% of the total revenue in the Public Transportation market will be generated through online sales.
In global comparison, United States is the country where most revenue will be generated, reaching US$52bn in 2024.
Montenegro's public transportation system is seeing increased investment, with new buses and infrastructure improvements aimed at improving connectivity and mobility options for locals and tourists alike.

Definition:

Local public transportation is used to transport people in everyday traffic by road, water, railway tracks, and sometimes by air (cable car) for local and regional transportation. In this market, revenues generated by ticket sales from public transportation companies, such as BVG (Berlin Transport Company), TfL (Transport for London), or Toei (東京都交通局: Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Transportation) are considered. Most providers sell single and group tickets or time-limited tickets for up to one year. This market does not take long-distance public transportation with national travel offerings into consideration.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Flights market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

For further information on the data displayed, refer to the info button right next to each box.

Local and regional public transportation by road, water, rail, and air
Regular transportation by bus, train, tram, subway, suburban trains, ferries, cable car, and trolleybus
All online and offline bookings for public transportation tickets and subscriptions, irrespective of the sales channel
Time-limited subscriptions and single tickets

Tickets for long-distance public transportation with nationwide travel offers
Private transportation
Freight transportation

The Public Transportation market in Montenegro is experiencing a steady growth due to various factors. Customer preferences are shifting towards more sustainable and convenient modes of transportation, leading to an increased demand for public transportation services. Additionally, local special circumstances and underlying macroeconomic factors are also contributing to the development of the market.

Customer preferences: In Montenegro, customer preferences are shifting towards public transportation as a means of reducing traffic congestion and environmental pollution. The population is becoming more aware of the negative impacts of private vehicles and is actively seeking alternative modes of transportation. Moreover, the convenience and affordability of public transportation services are attracting more customers, especially in urban areas where traffic congestion is a major concern.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the public transportation market in Montenegro is the expansion and improvement of existing infrastructure. The government is investing in the development of new bus routes, tram lines, and metro systems to enhance connectivity and accessibility. This trend is driven by the increasing urbanization and population growth in major cities, where public transportation is crucial for efficient mobility. Another trend is the adoption of technology in public transportation services. Mobile ticketing, real-time tracking, and smart card payment systems are becoming more prevalent, making it easier for passengers to use and access public transportation. This trend is driven by the growing digitalization and the need for more efficient and convenient services.

Local special circumstances: Montenegro's unique geography and tourist attractions also play a significant role in the development of the public transportation market. The country's beautiful coastal areas and national parks attract a large number of tourists each year. As a result, there is a need for reliable and efficient transportation services to cater to the needs of both locals and tourists. The government is actively working on improving connectivity to these tourist destinations, thereby boosting the demand for public transportation services.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The overall economic growth and stability of Montenegro are also contributing to the development of the public transportation market. As the economy grows, more people have disposable income to spend on transportation services. This, coupled with the government's investment in infrastructure development, creates a favorable environment for the expansion of the public transportation market. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Montenegro is developing due to changing customer preferences, trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. The demand for more sustainable and convenient transportation options, coupled with the government's focus on infrastructure development, is driving the growth of the market. With ongoing investments and technological advancements, the public transportation sector in Montenegro is expected to continue its upward trajectory.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Mobility market, in a PDF format.