Public Transportation - MENA

  • MENA
  • Revenue in the Public Transportation market is projected to reach US$13.24bn in 2024.
  • Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 4.54%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$16.53bn by 2029.
  • In the Public Transportation market, the number of users is expected to amount to 374.50m users by 2029.
  • User penetration is projected to be 53.6% in 2024 and 62.0% by 2029.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to amount to US$43.31.
  • In the Public Transportation market, 24% of total revenue will be generated through online sales by 2029.
  • In global comparison, most revenue will be generated in the United States (US$52bn in 2024).

Key regions: South America, Malaysia, China, Thailand, United States

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Public Transportation market in MENA is experiencing significant growth and development due to various factors.

Customer preferences:
Customers in the MENA region are increasingly opting for public transportation due to several reasons. Firstly, with the growing urbanization and population density in many cities, traffic congestion has become a major issue. As a result, people are choosing public transportation as a more efficient and convenient mode of travel. Additionally, the rising awareness about environmental sustainability has led to a shift towards greener transportation options, such as buses, trams, and metros. Lastly, the affordability of public transportation compared to private vehicles is also a driving factor for customer preferences.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Public Transportation market in MENA is the expansion and modernization of existing infrastructure. Many countries in the region are investing heavily in the development of new metro lines, tram networks, and bus rapid transit systems. This expansion is aimed at improving connectivity within cities and reducing travel time for commuters. Moreover, there is a growing emphasis on integrating different modes of transportation, such as metro and bus networks, to provide seamless and efficient travel options for passengers. Another trend in the market is the adoption of smart technologies and digital solutions. Many public transportation authorities in the MENA region are implementing smart ticketing systems, real-time passenger information systems, and mobile applications to enhance the overall passenger experience. These technologies not only make the ticketing process more convenient but also provide passengers with real-time updates on schedules, delays, and route changes.

Local special circumstances:
The Public Transportation market in MENA is influenced by several local special circumstances. One such circumstance is the rapid population growth in many cities, which has put immense pressure on existing transportation infrastructure. As a result, governments and transportation authorities are investing heavily in expanding and upgrading their public transportation systems to meet the increasing demand. Another special circumstance is the presence of a large expatriate population in the region. Many expatriates rely on public transportation for their daily commute, which further drives the demand for efficient and reliable transport services. Additionally, the cultural and religious norms in some countries in the region, such as Saudi Arabia, have led to the segregation of public transportation based on gender, with separate sections for men and women.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The development and growth of the Public Transportation market in MENA are also influenced by several macroeconomic factors. The region's strong economic growth and increasing urbanization have resulted in higher disposable incomes and a greater need for transportation services. Moreover, the governments in the region are actively promoting public transportation as a means to reduce traffic congestion, improve air quality, and enhance the overall quality of life for their citizens. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in MENA is witnessing significant growth and development due to customer preferences for efficient and sustainable transportation options. The expansion of infrastructure, adoption of smart technologies, and local special circumstances such as population growth and the presence of expatriates are driving the market. Additionally, the region's strong economic growth and government initiatives to promote public transportation are contributing to the market's growth.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Sales Channels
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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