Public Transportation - Kazakhstan

It is projected that by 2024, revenue in Kazakhstan's Public Transportation market will reach US$990.70m.
Further growth is expected, with revenue projected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 4.34%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$1.23bn by 2029.
The number of users in the Public Transportation market is also expected to increase, amounting to 14.13m users by 2029.
In terms of user penetration, it is projected to be 60.2% in 2024 and 67.5% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to amount to US$83.06.
Online sales are also expected to contribute significantly to the total revenue, with 20% of the revenue generated through online sales by 2029.
It is worth noting that in global comparison, United States is expected to generate the most revenue in the Public Transportation market, with a projected revenue of US$52bn in 2024.
Kazakhstan's public transportation sector is undergoing modernization efforts to improve efficiency and sustainability.

Definition:

Local public transportation is used to transport people in everyday traffic by road, water, railway tracks, and sometimes by air (cable car) for local and regional transportation. In this market, revenues generated by ticket sales from public transportation companies, such as BVG (Berlin Transport Company), TfL (Transport for London), or Toei (東京都交通局: Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Transportation) are considered. Most providers sell single and group tickets or time-limited tickets for up to one year. This market does not take long-distance public transportation with national travel offerings into consideration.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Flights market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

For further information on the data displayed, refer to the info button right next to each box.

Local and regional public transportation by road, water, rail, and air
Regular transportation by bus, train, tram, subway, suburban trains, ferries, cable car, and trolleybus
All online and offline bookings for public transportation tickets and subscriptions, irrespective of the sales channel
Time-limited subscriptions and single tickets

Tickets for long-distance public transportation with nationwide travel offers
Private transportation
Freight transportation

The Public Transportation market in Kazakhstan has witnessed significant growth in recent years, driven by changing customer preferences, emerging trends, and local special circumstances. Customer preferences have shifted towards more sustainable and convenient modes of transportation, leading to increased demand for public transportation services. Additionally, the market has been influenced by various trends such as the adoption of new technologies, the expansion of transportation networks, and the implementation of government policies promoting public transportation.

Customer preferences: In line with global trends, customers in Kazakhstan are increasingly prioritizing sustainability and convenience when it comes to transportation. Public transportation offers a more environmentally friendly option compared to private vehicles, reducing carbon emissions and congestion on the roads. Moreover, public transportation provides a convenient and cost-effective alternative for commuters, especially in urban areas where traffic congestion is a common issue. As a result, there has been a growing preference for public transportation among customers in Kazakhstan.

Trends in the market: The Public Transportation market in Kazakhstan is experiencing several key trends that are shaping its development. Firstly, the adoption of new technologies has played a significant role in enhancing the efficiency and quality of public transportation services. This includes the implementation of smart ticketing systems, real-time passenger information systems, and the integration of mobile applications for trip planning and ticket purchasing. These technological advancements have made public transportation more accessible and user-friendly, attracting more customers. Another trend is the expansion of transportation networks, particularly in urban areas. The government has been investing in the development of new metro lines, bus routes, and tram systems to improve connectivity and accessibility. This has not only increased the coverage of public transportation services but also reduced travel times for commuters. As a result, more people are opting for public transportation as their preferred mode of travel. Furthermore, government policies and initiatives have played a crucial role in promoting public transportation in Kazakhstan. The government has introduced measures to incentivize the use of public transportation, such as subsidizing fares, implementing car-free zones, and introducing dedicated bus lanes. These policies aim to reduce traffic congestion, improve air quality, and promote sustainable transportation options. Such initiatives have contributed to the growth of the Public Transportation market in Kazakhstan.

Local special circumstances: Kazakhstan's unique geographical and demographic characteristics have also influenced the development of the Public Transportation market. The country has a vast territory with long distances between cities, making public transportation an essential mode of travel for intercity journeys. Additionally, the majority of the population resides in urban areas, where public transportation is crucial for daily commuting. These factors have created a strong demand for public transportation services, leading to the expansion and improvement of the market.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The growth of the Public Transportation market in Kazakhstan is also supported by favorable macroeconomic factors. The country has experienced steady economic growth in recent years, leading to an increase in disposable income and urbanization. As a result, more people can afford to use public transportation and rely on it for their daily commuting needs. Moreover, the government's investments in infrastructure development have created employment opportunities and boosted economic activity, further driving the demand for public transportation services. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Kazakhstan is witnessing significant growth due to changing customer preferences, emerging trends, local special circumstances, and favorable macroeconomic factors. The shift towards sustainability and convenience, the adoption of new technologies, the expansion of transportation networks, government policies promoting public transportation, Kazakhstan's unique geographical and demographic characteristics, and steady economic growth are all contributing to the development of the market.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Mobility market, in a PDF format.