Public Transportation - Indonesia

Indonesia is expected to witness a significant growth in the Public Transportation market as its revenue is projected to reach US$1.90bn in 2024.
The annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) is anticipated to be 3.03%, leading to a market volume of US$2.20bn by 2029.
The number of users in this market is expected to rise to 152.30m users by 2029, with a user penetration rate of 47.3% in 2024 and 52.5% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be US$14.32.
It is estimated that 21% of the total revenue in this market will be generated through online sales by 2029.
Comparatively, United States is expected to generate the highest revenue of US$52bn in 2024 among all countries worldwide.
Indonesia's public transportation sector is undergoing modernization with the introduction of new metro lines and bus rapid transit systems.

Definition:

Local public transportation is used to transport people in everyday traffic by road, water, railway tracks, and sometimes by air (cable car) for local and regional transportation. In this market, revenues generated by ticket sales from public transportation companies, such as BVG (Berlin Transport Company), TfL (Transport for London), or Toei (東京都交通局: Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Transportation) are considered. Most providers sell single and group tickets or time-limited tickets for up to one year. This market does not take long-distance public transportation with national travel offerings into consideration.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Flights market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

For further information on the data displayed, refer to the info button right next to each box.

Local and regional public transportation by road, water, rail, and air
Regular transportation by bus, train, tram, subway, suburban trains, ferries, cable car, and trolleybus
All online and offline bookings for public transportation tickets and subscriptions, irrespective of the sales channel
Time-limited subscriptions and single tickets

Tickets for long-distance public transportation with nationwide travel offers
Private transportation
Freight transportation

The Public Transportation market in Indonesia has been experiencing significant growth in recent years, driven by various factors such as changing customer preferences, emerging trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. Customer preferences in the Public Transportation market in Indonesia have shifted towards more convenient and sustainable modes of transportation. With increasing urbanization and congestion in major cities, customers are looking for alternatives to private vehicles. This has led to a growing demand for public transportation services, including buses, trains, and ride-sharing platforms. Customers are also increasingly concerned about the environmental impact of their transportation choices, leading to a greater emphasis on sustainable modes of transport. One of the key trends in the Public Transportation market in Indonesia is the adoption of technology. This includes the integration of mobile apps and online platforms for ticketing and payment, as well as the use of data analytics to optimize routes and improve operational efficiency. These technological advancements have made public transportation more accessible and user-friendly, attracting more customers and increasing overall ridership. Another trend in the market is the expansion of infrastructure. The Indonesian government has been investing heavily in the development of public transportation infrastructure, including the construction of new railway lines, bus rapid transit systems, and improved road networks. These infrastructure projects not only improve connectivity within and between cities but also create employment opportunities and stimulate economic growth. Local special circumstances also play a significant role in shaping the Public Transportation market in Indonesia. The country's archipelagic geography and diverse population present unique challenges in providing efficient and reliable transportation services. This has led to the development of innovative solutions, such as water-based transportation and community-based transport initiatives, to serve remote and underserved areas. Underlying macroeconomic factors have also contributed to the growth of the Public Transportation market in Indonesia. The country's strong economic growth, rising urbanization, and increasing middle-class population have created a larger customer base for public transportation services. Additionally, government initiatives to promote sustainable development and reduce traffic congestion have further fueled the demand for public transportation. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Indonesia is experiencing growth due to changing customer preferences, technological advancements, infrastructure development, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. As the market continues to evolve, it is expected to further expand and diversify to meet the growing demand for convenient, sustainable, and reliable transportation services.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Mobility market, in a PDF format.