Public Transportation - Germany | Statista Market Forecast

Germany is expected to see a revenue of US$15.80bn in the Public Transportation market by 2024.
The revenue is projected to grow annually at a rate of 1.40%, resulting in a market volume of US$16.94bn by 2029.
Furthermore, it is expected that the number of users in the Public Transportation market will reach 60.49m users by 2029, with a user penetration of 70.4% in 2024 and 73.0% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is forecasted to be US$269.60.
Additionally, it is expected that 29% of the total revenue in the Public Transportation market will be generated through online sales by 2029.
Finally, in global comparison, United States is projected to generate the most revenue with a forecasted revenue of US$52bn in 2024.
Germany's extensive rail network and efficient public transportation system make it a leader in sustainable urban mobility.

Definition:

Local public transportation is used to transport people in everyday traffic by road, water, railway tracks, and sometimes by air (cable car) for local and regional transportation. In this market, revenues generated by ticket sales from public transportation companies, such as BVG (Berlin Transport Company), TfL (Transport for London), or Toei (東京都交通局: Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Transportation) are considered. Most providers sell single and group tickets or time-limited tickets for up to one year. This market does not take long-distance public transportation with national travel offerings into consideration.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Flights market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

For further information on the data displayed, refer to the info button right next to each box.

Local and regional public transportation by road, water, rail, and air
Regular transportation by bus, train, tram, subway, suburban trains, ferries, cable car, and trolleybus
All online and offline bookings for public transportation tickets and subscriptions, irrespective of the sales channel
Time-limited subscriptions and single tickets

Tickets for long-distance public transportation with nationwide travel offers
Private transportation
Freight transportation

The Public Transportation market in Germany has been experiencing significant growth in recent years. Customer preferences have shifted towards more sustainable and efficient modes of transportation, leading to increased demand for public transportation services. Additionally, local special circumstances, such as the high population density and limited parking availability in major cities, have further contributed to the growth of the market. Customer preferences in Germany have been increasingly focused on sustainability and reducing carbon emissions. As a result, there has been a growing demand for public transportation options that provide a more environmentally friendly alternative to private cars. This shift in preference can be attributed to a greater awareness of the environmental impact of transportation and a desire to reduce individual carbon footprints. Another factor driving the growth of the Public Transportation market in Germany is the convenience and cost-effectiveness of using public transportation. With limited parking spaces available in major cities, owning a car can be both expensive and inconvenient. Public transportation offers a more affordable and efficient way to travel, especially for daily commutes. This has led to an increase in the number of people using public transportation on a regular basis. In addition to customer preferences, local special circumstances in Germany have also contributed to the growth of the Public Transportation market. Germany has a high population density, particularly in urban areas, which makes it more challenging for individuals to rely solely on private cars for transportation. Limited parking availability and congested roads further discourage car ownership and encourage the use of public transportation. Furthermore, the German government has implemented policies and initiatives to promote the use of public transportation. These include investment in infrastructure, such as the expansion of tram and subway networks, as well as the introduction of incentives for using public transportation, such as discounted fares for certain groups of people. These measures have further boosted the demand for public transportation services in the country. Underlying macroeconomic factors, such as population growth and urbanization, have also played a role in the development of the Public Transportation market in Germany. As the population continues to grow and more people move to urban areas, the demand for efficient and sustainable transportation options is expected to increase. This provides opportunities for the expansion and improvement of public transportation services in the country. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Germany is experiencing growth due to customer preferences for sustainable and cost-effective transportation options, as well as local special circumstances such as high population density and limited parking availability. The government's support and investment in public transportation infrastructure have further contributed to the development of the market. With underlying macroeconomic factors driving population growth and urbanization, the demand for public transportation services is expected to continue to increase in the coming years.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

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