Public Transportation - Gambia

  • Gambia
  • The Public Transportation market in Gambia is expected to witness remarkable growth in the coming years.
  • By 2024, the projected revenue is estimated to be US$9.86m.
  • Furthermore, the market is projected to exhibit a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.57% between 2024 and 2029, resulting in a projected market volume of US$12.33m by 2029.
  • It is anticipated that the number of users will increase to 2.54m users by 2029, with a projected user penetration of 69.1% in 2024 and 79.6% by 2029.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be US$5.02.
  • In 2029, 15% of the total revenue in the Public Transportation market is projected to be generated through online sales.
  • It is interesting to note that in global comparison, United States is expected to generate the most revenue, with a projected revenue of US$52bn in 2024.
  • Gambia's public transportation market is dominated by shared taxis and buses, with little government regulation and infrastructure investment.

Key regions: South America, Malaysia, China, Thailand, United States

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Public Transportation market in Gambia is experiencing significant growth and development in recent years.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Gambia are increasingly preferring public transportation options due to various reasons. One of the main reasons is the affordability and cost-effectiveness of using public transportation compared to private vehicles. With the rising cost of fuel and maintenance, many people find it more economical to use public transportation for their daily commute. Additionally, public transportation offers convenience and accessibility, especially for those who do not own a vehicle or prefer not to drive. The availability of public transportation options also reduces traffic congestion and promotes a more sustainable and environmentally friendly mode of transportation.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Public Transportation market in Gambia is the expansion and improvement of existing transportation infrastructure. The government has been investing in the development of new roads, bridges, and public transportation systems to enhance connectivity within the country. This includes the introduction of new bus routes, the establishment of dedicated lanes for public transportation, and the implementation of modern ticketing systems. These initiatives aim to provide a more efficient and reliable public transportation service to meet the growing demand. Another trend in the market is the adoption of technology in public transportation services. Mobile applications and online platforms are being utilized to provide real-time information on bus schedules, routes, and fares. This allows passengers to plan their journeys more effectively and reduces waiting times at bus stops. Additionally, cashless payment systems are being introduced, enabling passengers to pay for their fares using digital wallets or contactless cards. These technological advancements not only improve the overall passenger experience but also contribute to the modernization of the public transportation sector.

Local special circumstances:
Gambia's geographical location as a small country surrounded by Senegal poses unique challenges and opportunities for the Public Transportation market. The proximity to Senegal allows for cross-border transportation services, facilitating trade and movement between the two countries. This opens up opportunities for collaboration and partnership between transportation companies in both countries, leading to increased connectivity and accessibility for passengers.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The growth and development of the Public Transportation market in Gambia are influenced by several macroeconomic factors. The steady economic growth in the country has resulted in an increase in disposable income, enabling more people to afford public transportation services. Additionally, the growing urbanization and population density in major cities have led to a higher demand for public transportation as a means of commuting. The government's focus on infrastructure development and transportation planning also plays a crucial role in shaping the market. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Gambia is experiencing growth and development due to customer preferences for affordability, convenience, and sustainability. The expansion of transportation infrastructure, adoption of technology, and unique local circumstances contribute to the positive trends in the market. The underlying macroeconomic factors, such as economic growth and urbanization, further support the growth of the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Sales Channels
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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