Public Transportation - Cuba | Statista Market Forecast

The Public Transportation market in Cuba is anticipated to generate a revenue of US$10.75m in 2024.
The revenue is projected to grow annually at a rate of -0.02% (CAGR 2024-2029), culminating in a market volume of US$10.74m by 2029.
As for the number of users in this market, it is expected to reach 5.99m users by 2029.
User penetration is predicted to decrease from 54.4% in 2024 to 54.2% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be US$1.77.
By 2029, online sales are estimated to contribute 29% of the total revenue in the Public Transportation market.
In comparison to other countries, United States is projected to generate the highest revenue with a sum of US$52bn in 2024.
Cuba's public transportation system is heavily reliant on outdated buses and trains, leading to overcrowding and long wait times for commuters.

Definition:

Local public transportation is used to transport people in everyday traffic by road, water, railway tracks, and sometimes by air (cable car) for local and regional transportation. In this market, revenues generated by ticket sales from public transportation companies, such as BVG (Berlin Transport Company), TfL (Transport for London), or Toei (東京都交通局: Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Transportation) are considered. Most providers sell single and group tickets or time-limited tickets for up to one year. This market does not take long-distance public transportation with national travel offerings into consideration.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Flights market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

For further information on the data displayed, refer to the info button right next to each box.

Local and regional public transportation by road, water, rail, and air
Regular transportation by bus, train, tram, subway, suburban trains, ferries, cable car, and trolleybus
All online and offline bookings for public transportation tickets and subscriptions, irrespective of the sales channel
Time-limited subscriptions and single tickets

Tickets for long-distance public transportation with nationwide travel offers
Private transportation
Freight transportation

The Public Transportation market in Cuba has been experiencing significant development in recent years.

Customer preferences: The Cuban population has shown a growing preference for public transportation due to several factors. Firstly, the cost-effectiveness of public transportation compared to private vehicles is a major driver of its popularity. With limited resources and a focus on affordability, many Cubans opt for public transportation as their primary mode of travel. Additionally, the convenience and accessibility of public transportation, particularly in urban areas, have also contributed to its increasing demand.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Cuban Public Transportation market is the modernization and expansion of infrastructure. The government has been investing in improving the existing transportation network by upgrading buses, trains, and other modes of public transportation. This has resulted in increased capacity, improved efficiency, and enhanced comfort for passengers. Furthermore, there has been a push towards the adoption of cleaner and more sustainable technologies in the public transportation sector, such as the introduction of electric buses. Another trend in the market is the integration of technology into public transportation services. Mobile applications and online platforms have been developed to provide real-time information on routes, schedules, and ticketing options. This has made it easier for passengers to plan their journeys and has improved the overall user experience. Additionally, the use of contactless payment systems has gained popularity, allowing for faster and more convenient transactions.

Local special circumstances: Cuba's unique political and economic circumstances have influenced the development of the public transportation market. The country's socialist system prioritizes public services, including transportation, to ensure equal access for all citizens. This has led to a strong emphasis on the expansion and improvement of public transportation infrastructure. Additionally, the government's control over the economy allows for centralized planning and investment in the sector.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: Several macroeconomic factors have contributed to the development of the public transportation market in Cuba. Firstly, the country's increasing tourism industry has created a higher demand for transportation services, both for tourists and locals. This has prompted the government to invest in expanding and upgrading the transportation infrastructure to accommodate the growing number of visitors. Furthermore, Cuba's ongoing economic reforms and opening up to foreign investment have attracted international companies to enter the public transportation market. This has brought in expertise, technology, and capital to support the development of the sector. Additionally, the government's focus on sustainable development and reducing carbon emissions has led to the adoption of cleaner and more efficient transportation technologies. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Cuba is experiencing significant development driven by customer preferences for affordability and convenience. The market is witnessing trends such as infrastructure modernization, integration of technology, and the adoption of sustainable practices. The unique political and economic circumstances in Cuba, along with macroeconomic factors such as tourism and economic reforms, are driving the growth of the market.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Mobility market, in a PDF format.