Public Transportation - Brazil | Statista Market Forecast

By the year 2024, the revenue in Brazil's Public Transportation market is anticipated to attain a value of US$7.14bn.
It is expected to exhibit a yearly growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 1.72%, which would lead to a forecasted market volume of US$7.78bn by 2029.
Additionally, it is projected that the number of users in this market will reach 149.00m users by 2029.
The projected user penetration is 62.6% in 2024 and 66.8% by 2029.
The expected average revenue per user (ARPU) is US$52.42.
Furthermore, online sales are estimated to contribute to 19% of the total revenue generated in the Public Transportation market by 2029.
It is noteworthy that United States is expected to generate the highest revenue in this market on a global scale, reaching US$52bn by 2024.
Brazil's public transportation system faces challenges such as overcrowding, insufficient infrastructure, and inadequate funding.

Definition:

Local public transportation is used to transport people in everyday traffic by road, water, railway tracks, and sometimes by air (cable car) for local and regional transportation. In this market, revenues generated by ticket sales from public transportation companies, such as BVG (Berlin Transport Company), TfL (Transport for London), or Toei (東京都交通局: Tokyo Metropolitan Bureau of Transportation) are considered. Most providers sell single and group tickets or time-limited tickets for up to one year. This market does not take long-distance public transportation with national travel offerings into consideration.

Additional Information:

The main performance indicators of the Flights market are revenues, average revenue per user (ARPU), user numbers and user penetration rates. Additionally, online and offline sales channel shares display the distribution of online and offline bookings. The ARPU refers to the average revenue one user generates per year while the revenue represents the total booking volume. Revenues are generated through both online and offline sales channels and include exclusively B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets. User numbers show only those individuals who have made a reservation, independent of the number of travelers on the booking. Each user is only counted once per year. Additional definitions for each market can be found within the respective market pages.

The booking volume includes all booked rides made by users from the selected region, regardless of where the ride took place.

For further information on the data displayed, refer to the info button right next to each box.

Local and regional public transportation by road, water, rail, and air
Regular transportation by bus, train, tram, subway, suburban trains, ferries, cable car, and trolleybus
All online and offline bookings for public transportation tickets and subscriptions, irrespective of the sales channel
Time-limited subscriptions and single tickets

Tickets for long-distance public transportation with nationwide travel offers
Private transportation
Freight transportation

The Public Transportation market in Brazil has been experiencing significant growth and development in recent years.

Customer preferences: Customers in Brazil are increasingly opting for public transportation due to several factors. One of the key reasons is the rising awareness about the environmental impact of private vehicles, leading to a shift towards more sustainable modes of transportation. Additionally, the growing urban population and increasing traffic congestion have made public transportation a more convenient and efficient option for many Brazilians.

Trends in the market: One of the notable trends in the Brazilian Public Transportation market is the increasing adoption of technology. This includes the implementation of smart ticketing systems, real-time passenger information systems, and mobile applications for route planning and ticket purchasing. These technological advancements have improved the overall user experience and made public transportation more accessible and user-friendly. Another trend in the market is the expansion and modernization of existing public transportation infrastructure. The Brazilian government has been investing heavily in the development of new metro lines, bus rapid transit systems, and tram networks in major cities across the country. This expansion aims to improve connectivity, reduce travel times, and enhance the overall efficiency of public transportation services.

Local special circumstances: Brazil is a vast country with diverse transportation needs and challenges. The country's large urban centers, such as Sao Paulo and Rio de Janeiro, face significant traffic congestion and overcrowding. As a result, there is a strong demand for reliable and efficient public transportation options in these cities. Additionally, Brazil's extensive coastline and popular tourist destinations require well-connected transportation networks to cater to both residents and visitors.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The development of the Public Transportation market in Brazil is also influenced by several macroeconomic factors. The country's improving economic conditions and rising middle-class population have led to increased disposable income and higher spending power. This has contributed to the growing demand for public transportation services. Furthermore, government initiatives and policies play a crucial role in shaping the market. The Brazilian government has been actively promoting sustainable transportation solutions and investing in public transportation infrastructure. These initiatives aim to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, alleviate traffic congestion, and improve the overall quality of life for Brazilians. In conclusion, the Public Transportation market in Brazil is experiencing significant growth and development. Customer preferences for sustainable and efficient transportation options, along with the adoption of technology and government investments, are driving the market forward. With continued focus on improving infrastructure and addressing local challenges, the Brazilian Public Transportation market is expected to continue its positive trajectory in the coming years.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of public transportation.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

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