Electric Vehicles - Ukraine | Statista Market Forecast

The Electric Vehicles market in Ukraine is projected to generate a revenue of US$41.9m in 2024.
With an expected annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 17.98%, the market is projected to reach a volume of US$95.7m by 2029.
By that year, the unit sales of Electric Vehicles market are expected to reach 1.13k vehicles.
In 2024, the volume weighted average price of Electric Vehicles market in Ukraine is estimated to be US$81.3k.
From an international perspective, it is evident that China is anticipated to generate the highest revenue in the Electric Vehicles market, amounting to US$376bn in 2024.
The adoption of electric vehicles in Ukraine has been slow due to limited infrastructure and lack of government support.

CO2 emissions exert a profound influence on climate and the environment, fueling the greenhouse effect and contributing significantly to global climate change. Nearly one-fourth of these emissions worldwide can be attributed to the transportation sector. Electric vehicles (EVs) emerge as a promising solution, potentially acting as a carbon-neutral alternative when powered by renewable energy sources. This underscores their pivotal role in mitigating the impact of traditional combustion engine vehicles on the environment.

The Electric Vehicles market includes information about electric vehicles in countries where, according to our sources, a public electric vehicle charging infrastructure is already available. In this context, “public” means that people have unrestricted access to the charging infrastructure. A vehicle can be defined as electric if it is self-contained with a battery or classified as a plug-in hybrid. All key figures shown represent the sales of new cars, and their basic configuration in the respective year. The figures do not include the sale of used vehicles nor adapted equipment for the new cars sold. The prices and revenues shown are accordingly based on the basic models.

The Electric Vehicle market is divided into distinct two distinct markets, namely Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs) and Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEVs). This categorization allows for a nuanced understanding of the market dynamics, considering the specific attributes and market penetration of each electric vehicle type. The emphasis on new car sales and their foundational configurations ensures clarity, while the exclusion of used vehicles and customizations maintains focus on the evolving landscape of electric vehicles.

Battery electric vehicles (BEVs)
Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs)
Road electric vehicles
Passenger Cars

Electric vehicles that are not self-contained and cannot be classified as BEVs or PHEVs
Rail electric vehicles
Surface and underwater vessels
Electric aircraft or spacecraft
Motorcycles, scooters, mopeds, buses, vans, and trucks

The Electric Vehicles market in Ukraine has been steadily growing in recent years, driven by a combination of customer preferences, market trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors.

Customer preferences: Ukrainian consumers have shown a growing interest in electric vehicles due to their environmental benefits and potential cost savings. With increasing awareness of climate change and air pollution, many consumers are looking for more sustainable transportation options. Electric vehicles offer a cleaner and greener alternative to traditional gasoline-powered cars, reducing carbon emissions and improving air quality.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Ukrainian Electric Vehicles market is the government's push towards electric mobility. The Ukrainian government has implemented various incentives and subsidies to promote the adoption of electric vehicles. These include tax exemptions, reduced registration fees, and financial incentives for the purchase of electric vehicles. These initiatives have helped to drive up demand and make electric vehicles more affordable for consumers. Another trend in the market is the expansion of charging infrastructure. To support the growing number of electric vehicles on the road, there has been a significant increase in the number of charging stations across the country. This infrastructure development has helped to alleviate range anxiety and increase the convenience of owning an electric vehicle.

Local special circumstances: Ukraine has a significant dependence on imported fossil fuels, which makes the country vulnerable to fluctuations in global oil prices. As a result, the government is keen to reduce its reliance on imported energy and promote energy independence. The adoption of electric vehicles aligns with this goal, as it reduces the country's dependence on imported oil and promotes the use of domestically produced electricity.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: Ukraine has been experiencing economic growth in recent years, which has contributed to an increase in disposable income and consumer spending power. As the economy continues to improve, more consumers are able to afford electric vehicles, which tend to have a higher upfront cost compared to traditional cars. The growing middle class in Ukraine is also driving demand for electric vehicles as a status symbol and a reflection of a more sustainable and environmentally conscious lifestyle. In conclusion, the Electric Vehicles market in Ukraine is developing due to customer preferences for sustainable transportation, government incentives and subsidies, the expansion of charging infrastructure, the country's desire for energy independence, and the improving economic conditions. As these factors continue to drive the market, we can expect to see further growth and adoption of electric vehicles in Ukraine in the coming years.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the sales of new passenger cars. Data on the specifications of the sold vehicles is based on the base models of the respective makes.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use company reports and websites, vehicle registries, car dealers, and environment agencies among other sources. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP and car stock per capita. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, we use the ARIMA model for the Passenger Cars market. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year. In some cases, the data is updated on an ad hoc basis (e.g., when new, relevant data has been released or significant changes within the market have an impact on the projected development).

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Mobility market, in a PDF format.

For the first time in the past decade, lithium-ion battery pack costs increased in 2022 due to the raw material and battery component soaring price inflation. However, this increase in production cost has not slowed down the global electric vehicle (EV)market. Electric vehicle sales have increased tremendously over the past decade.