Bicycles - Portugal

  • Portugal
  • Revenue in the Bicycles market is projected to reach US$271.50m in 2024.
  • Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 0.26%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$275.00m by 2029.
  • Bicycles market unit sales are expected to reach 309.30k bicycles in 2029.
  • The volume weighted average price of Bicycles market in 2024 is expected to amount to US$0.80k.
  • From an international perspective it is shown that the most revenue will be generated in China (US$12,370m in 2024).
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Bicycles market in Portugal has seen a slight decline in growth rate due to factors such as low consumer awareness, limited availability of online services, and the preference for traditional modes of transportation. However, with increasing government initiatives and rising health consciousness among consumers, the market is expected to witness a gradual growth in the coming years.

Customer preferences:
As sustainability and health-consciousness continue to gain importance in Portuguese culture, there has been a notable increase in demand for eco-friendly and electric bicycles. This trend is driven by the desire for greener transportation options and the growing popularity of e-bikes as a convenient and efficient mode of transportation. Additionally, with the rise of urbanization and traffic congestion, bicycles are becoming a preferred mode of transportation for short distances, further contributing to the growth of the Bicycles Market market.

Trends in the market:
In Portugal, the Bicycles Market is experiencing a surge in demand for electric bikes, as consumers seek more environmentally friendly and cost-effective transportation options. This trend is expected to continue as the government implements policies to promote sustainable mobility. Additionally, there is a growing interest in bike-sharing programs, with companies like Gira and MobiCascais expanding their services in major cities. These trends are significant for industry stakeholders as they highlight the potential for growth in the market and the need for innovative solutions to meet consumer demands. However, it also poses challenges such as infrastructure development and regulation. Nonetheless, the overall trajectory of these trends is positive and presents opportunities for stakeholders to tap into this emerging market.

Local special circumstances:
In Portugal, the Bicycles Market is heavily influenced by the country's geographical landscape, with its hilly terrain and beautiful coastal routes making it a popular destination for cycling enthusiasts. Additionally, the culture of outdoor activities and sustainable transportation also plays a significant role in driving the market. Furthermore, government initiatives promoting cycling as a mode of transportation have led to a rise in demand for bicycles in urban areas. This unique combination of factors has created a distinct market dynamic in Portugal, setting it apart from other countries in the region.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Bicycles Market in Portugal is impacted by macroeconomic factors such as economic growth, consumer spending, and government policies. The country's stable economic growth and rising disposable income have increased consumer demand for bicycles. Furthermore, government initiatives to promote sustainable transportation and reduce carbon emissions have also contributed to the growth of the market. Additionally, the increasing trend of health and wellness awareness among the population has led to a higher demand for bicycles as a means of exercise and leisure. These factors are expected to continue driving the growth of the Bicycles Market in Portugal.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the sales of bicycles and the respective average prices for bicycles.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a Bottom-Up approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use publications of industry associations, expert blogs, and data provided by governments and scientific institutions. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, population, and consumer spending per capita (based on current prices). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the ARIMA time series forecast and forecasts based on previous growth rates are well suited for forecasting the future demand for bicycles due to the brick and mortar nature of this market. The main drivers are GDP, consumer spending per capita, and population. The scenario analysis is based on a Monte Carlo simulation approach generating a range of possible outcomes by creating random variations in forecasted data points, based on assumptions about potential fluctuations in future values. By running numerous simulated scenarios, the model provides an estimated distribution of results, allowing for an analysis of likely ranges and confidence intervals around the forecast.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated once a year. In some cases, the data is updated on an ad hoc basis (e.g., when new, relevant data has been released or significant changes within the market have an impact on the projected development).

Overview

  • Unit Sales
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Revenue
  • Price
  • Bicycle Sales by Type
  • Electric Bike Share
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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