Bicycles - Australia & Oceania

  • Australia & Oceania
  • Revenue in the Bicycles market is projected to reach US$1,115.00m in 2024.
  • Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of -0.58%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$1,083.00m by 2029.
  • Bicycles market unit sales are expected to reach 1,212.00k bicycles in 2029.
  • The volume weighted average price of Bicycles market in 2024 is expected to amount to US$0.78k.
  • From an international perspective it is shown that the most revenue will be generated in China (US$12,370m in 2024).
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Bicycles Market in Australia & Oceania has been experiencing steady growth, driven by increasing adoption of eco-friendly transportation options, growing health consciousness among consumers, and the convenience offered by online bike retailers. However, the market's growth rate is being impacted by factors such as the minimal decline in the overall economy and the shift towards electric bicycles.

Customer preferences:
As the popularity of cycling as a form of exercise and transportation continues to rise in Australia and Oceania, consumers are increasingly seeking environmentally-friendly and sustainable options when it comes to purchasing bicycles. This shift in consumer preferences is driven by a growing awareness of the impact of transportation on the environment and a desire to reduce carbon emissions. As a result, there has been a surge in demand for electric and hybrid bicycles, as well as a growing trend towards purchasing bicycles made from sustainable materials. This shift towards eco-friendly options reflects a larger cultural shift towards sustainability and conscious consumption in the region.

Trends in the market:
In Australia & Oceania, the Bicycles Market is experiencing a surge in demand for electric bikes, with consumers seeking eco-friendly and cost-effective transportation options. This trend is expected to continue, as governments in the region are promoting the use of electric bikes through subsidies and infrastructure development. Additionally, there is a growing trend of bike-sharing programs, providing convenient and affordable access to bicycles. These developments are significant for industry stakeholders, as they open up new opportunities for growth and innovation. However, they also pose challenges in terms of managing supply chains, ensuring safety standards, and addressing regulatory concerns. Overall, the trajectory of these trends points towards a promising future for the Bicycles Market in Australia & Oceania.

Local special circumstances:
In Australia & Oceania, the Bicycles Market is heavily influenced by the region's vast and varied terrain, ranging from rugged mountains to sprawling coastlines. This has led to a demand for specialized bicycles, such as mountain bikes and beach cruisers. Additionally, the outdoor and active lifestyle of the local population has contributed to the growth of the market. Government initiatives promoting sustainable transportation and increasing awareness of the health benefits of cycling have also played a significant role in driving the market.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Bicycles Market in Australia & Oceania is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors such as consumer spending, interest rates, and government policies. The region's strong economic growth and high disposable income levels have resulted in increased consumer demand for bicycles. Additionally, government initiatives promoting sustainable transportation and investments in infrastructure for cycling have further boosted the market. However, fluctuations in global economic conditions and changes in fiscal policies can significantly impact the market's growth trajectory in the region. Moreover, the increasing popularity of electric bicycles and the growing trend towards healthy and environmentally-friendly lifestyles are expected to drive the market's growth in the coming years.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the sales of bicycles and the respective average prices for bicycles.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a Bottom-Up approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use publications of industry associations, expert blogs, and data provided by governments and scientific institutions. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, population, and consumer spending per capita (based on current prices). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the ARIMA time series forecast and forecasts based on previous growth rates are well suited for forecasting the future demand for bicycles due to the brick and mortar nature of this market. The main drivers are GDP, consumer spending per capita, and population. The scenario analysis is based on a Monte Carlo simulation approach generating a range of possible outcomes by creating random variations in forecasted data points, based on assumptions about potential fluctuations in future values. By running numerous simulated scenarios, the model provides an estimated distribution of results, allowing for an analysis of likely ranges and confidence intervals around the forecast.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated once a year. In some cases, the data is updated on an ad hoc basis (e.g., when new, relevant data has been released or significant changes within the market have an impact on the projected development).

Overview

  • Unit Sales
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Revenue
  • Price
  • Electric Bike Share
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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