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Cereals - United Kingdom

United Kingdom
  • Gross production value in Cereals market is projected to amount to US$10.30bn in 2025. An annual growth rate of 5.34% is expected (CAGR 2025-2029), resulting in gross production value of US$12.68bn in 2029.
  • The import value in Cereals market is projected to amount to US$1.6bn in 2025. An annual growth rate of 5.01% is expected (CAGR 2025–2029).
  • The export value in Cereals market is projected to amount to US$391.2m in 2025. An annual growth rate of -1.83% is expected (CAGR 2025–2029).

Definition:

The cereals market covers the total gross production value for 14 items including Barley, Maize (corn), oats, rice, rye, wheat, sorghum, triticale, millet, canary seed, buckwheat, quinoa, fonio and mixed grain.

Additional Information:

The market comprises gross production value and gross production value growth rates, import and export value. Data is only provided for the countries that are active in the above-mentioned markets. The market only displays B2B values.

The term "Revenue" in the title of the charts and chapter refers to the gross production value within this market.

In-Scope
  • Cereal grains
  • Pseudo-cereal grains
  • Other grains: Canary seed and Mixed grain
Out-Of-Scope
  • Unique cereal varieties, e.g., spelt
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Study Details

    Revenue

    Notes: Data was converted from local currencies using average exchange rates of the respective year.

    Most recent update: May 2024

    Source: Statista Market Insights

    Trade

    Notes: Data was converted from local currencies using average exchange rates of the respective year.

    Most recent update: Sep 2024

    Source: Statista Market Insights

    Notes: Data was converted from local currencies using average exchange rates of the respective year.

    Most recent update: Sep 2024

    Source: Statista Market Insights

    Analyst Opinion

    The Cereals Market within the Agriculture Market in the United Kingdom has been experiencing considerable growth, influenced by factors such as fluctuating commodity prices, changing consumer preferences, and challenges in sustainable farming practices.

    Customer preferences:
    In the United Kingdom, consumers are increasingly prioritizing health and wellness, leading to a notable shift towards organic and whole grain cereals that promise nutritional benefits. There is a growing demand for plant-based options, reflecting a broader trend towards vegetarian and vegan diets. Additionally, younger demographics are leaning towards brands that emphasize sustainability and ethical sourcing, driving innovation in packaging and production practices. This cultural shift underscores a desire for transparency and quality in food choices, reshaping the cereals market landscape.

    Trends in the market:
    In the United Kingdom, the cereals market is experiencing a surge in demand for gluten-free and allergen-friendly products, as consumers become more health-conscious and aware of dietary restrictions. There is also a notable increase in functional cereals enriched with added vitamins, minerals, and probiotics, catering to the wellness-oriented consumer. Furthermore, the rise of e-commerce is reshaping purchasing behavior, with online platforms becoming essential for brands to reach health-savvy shoppers. This evolution presents significant opportunities for producers to innovate and adapt to changing consumer preferences, ultimately influencing market dynamics and competition.

    Local special circumstances:
    In the United Kingdom, the cereals market is influenced by the country's diverse agricultural landscape, with regions like East Anglia and the Midlands playing significant roles in grain production. Cultural preferences for traditional breakfast foods, such as porridge and muesli, drive demand for specific cereal types. Additionally, stringent regulatory standards on food labeling and health claims shape product development, ensuring transparency for health-conscious consumers. This unique blend of geography, culture, and regulation fosters a dynamic market environment, encouraging innovation and adaptability among producers.

    Underlying macroeconomic factors:
    The cereals market in the United Kingdom is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as fluctuations in global commodity prices, agricultural productivity, and trade policies. As global demand for grains rises, UK producers face competitive pressures that can impact pricing and profitability. National economic health, characterized by GDP growth and inflation rates, affects consumer purchasing power and spending habits, influencing demand for various cereal products. Moreover, fiscal policies aimed at supporting sustainable agriculture and food security initiatives further shape market dynamics, encouraging innovation in production methods and product offerings to meet evolving consumer preferences and regulatory standards.

    Global Comparison

    Most recent update: May 2024

    Source: Statista Market Insights

    Methodology

    Data coverage:

    The data encompasses B2B. Figures are based on the value of gross production in the agriculture market, which values of production are calculated by multiplying gross production by output prices at the farm gate.

    Modeling approach:

    Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as annual financial reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, third-party studies and reports, national statistical offices, international institutions, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index.

    Forecasts:

    In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited for forecasting agriculture products due to the non-linear growth of this market, especially because of the direct impact of climate change on the market.

    Additional notes:

    The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

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    Key Market Indicators

    Notes: Based on data from IMF, World Bank, UN and Eurostat

    Most recent update: Jan 2025

    Source: Statista Market Insights

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