Commercial Real Estate - Nigeria

  • Nigeria
  • The Commercial Real Estate market market in Nigeria is poised to achieve a staggering value of ₦US$344.50bn by 2024.
  • This projection takes into account various factors and trends in the Nigerian real estate sector.
  • Additionally, it is anticipated that the market will experience a consistent annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 2.94%, ultimately resulting in a market volume of ₦US$398.30bn by 2029.
  • It is worth noting that when compared globally, the United States is expected to dominate the Real Estate industry, generating a substantial value of US$25,280.0bn by 2024.
  • This highlights the significance of the United States in the global real estate market and emphasizes its leading position in terms of market value.
  • Nigeria's commercial real estate market is experiencing a surge in demand as foreign investors capitalize on the country's growing economy.

Key regions: Europe, France, Japan, Brazil, Asia

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Commercial Real Estate market in Nigeria is experiencing significant growth and development.

Customer preferences:
Customers in the Commercial Real Estate market in Nigeria are increasingly looking for modern and well-equipped office spaces. They prefer locations that are easily accessible, have good infrastructure, and offer amenities such as parking facilities and security services. Additionally, there is a growing demand for flexible office spaces and co-working spaces, as more businesses are adopting agile working models.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Commercial Real Estate market in Nigeria is the increasing demand for mixed-use developments. These developments combine commercial spaces with residential, retail, and entertainment facilities, creating vibrant and self-sustaining communities. This trend is driven by the desire for convenience and the need to optimize land use in urban areas. Another trend in the market is the rise of smart buildings. With advancements in technology, commercial buildings are becoming more intelligent and energy-efficient. These smart buildings incorporate features such as automated lighting and temperature control, smart security systems, and integrated communication systems. This trend is driven by the need for cost savings, sustainability, and improved productivity.

Local special circumstances:
One of the unique aspects of the Commercial Real Estate market in Nigeria is the presence of informal and unregulated property markets. Many businesses operate in informal spaces, such as street markets and roadside stalls, which are not captured in official market data. This informal sector plays a significant role in the economy and provides opportunities for small businesses. However, it also poses challenges in terms of property rights, infrastructure, and regulation.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The growth and development of the Commercial Real Estate market in Nigeria are influenced by several macroeconomic factors. The country's population is growing rapidly, leading to increased demand for commercial spaces. Additionally, urbanization is driving the need for more office spaces, retail outlets, and logistics facilities. Nigeria's economic diversification efforts are also contributing to the growth of the Commercial Real Estate market. The government is focusing on sectors such as manufacturing, technology, and services, which require modern and well-equipped commercial spaces. This has led to increased investment in commercial real estate development. Furthermore, the stability of the political and regulatory environment is crucial for the growth of the Commercial Real Estate market. Investors and businesses require a predictable and transparent legal framework to make long-term investments in the sector. The government's commitment to improving the ease of doing business and attracting foreign direct investment is therefore essential for the continued development of the market. In conclusion, the Commercial Real Estate market in Nigeria is experiencing significant growth and development. Customer preferences are shifting towards modern and well-equipped office spaces, and there is a growing demand for mixed-use developments and smart buildings. However, the presence of an informal property market and the stability of the political and regulatory environment are important factors that will shape the future of the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on value of commercial real estate.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a bottom-up approach. As a basis for evaluating this market, we use national statistical offices. Next, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as share of industry, manufacturing, and services of the GPD, price level index, GDP. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the market, for example, exponential trend smoothing.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level.

Overview

  • Value
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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