Commercial Real Estate - Kyrgyzstan

The Commercial Real Estate market market in Kyrgyzstan is expected to reach a value of US$14.22bn by 2024.
This projection indicates a steady growth rate of 5.33% per year, resulting in a market volume of US$18.44bn by 2029.
When comparing it globally, it is worth noting that the United States is projected to generate the highest value in the Real Estate market, with an estimated worth of US$25.3tn in 2024.
Kyrgyzstan's commercial real estate market is experiencing a surge in demand due to its strategic location on the Silk Road Economic Belt.

Definition:

Commercial real estate can be defined as properties that are used for business purposes, such as office buildings, retail spaces, warehouses, and industrial properties.

Additional information:

The commercial real estate market contains the value of commercial properties as a key performance indicator. This is the worth of all office buildings, retail spaces warehouses, and industrial properties for the timeline of our data coverage.

Office buildings
Retail spaces
Warehouses
Industrial properties

Residential real estate
Publicly owned buildings used by the local government
Buildings used for public health care services

Kyrgyzstan, a landlocked country in Central Asia, is experiencing a notable development in its Commercial Real Estate market.

Customer preferences: In recent years, there has been a growing demand for commercial real estate in Kyrgyzstan. This can be attributed to several factors, including the country's strategic location as a transit hub between China and Europe, as well as its emerging economy. With an increasing number of businesses looking to establish a presence in the region, there is a high demand for office spaces, retail outlets, and industrial facilities.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the commercial real estate market in Kyrgyzstan is the rise of mixed-use developments. Developers are increasingly incorporating residential, commercial, and recreational components within a single project. This trend is driven by the desire to create vibrant and self-contained communities that offer convenience and a high quality of life for residents. Mixed-use developments also attract a diverse range of businesses, further boosting the demand for commercial spaces. Another trend in the market is the growing popularity of flexible office spaces. With the rise of remote work and the increasing number of startups and freelancers, there is a shift towards more flexible working arrangements. Co-working spaces and serviced offices are becoming increasingly popular among small businesses and entrepreneurs who value the flexibility, cost-effectiveness, and networking opportunities that these spaces provide.

Local special circumstances: Kyrgyzstan's Commercial Real Estate market is also influenced by local special circumstances. One such circumstance is the country's growing tourism industry. Kyrgyzstan is known for its stunning natural landscapes and rich cultural heritage, attracting a growing number of tourists each year. This has led to an increased demand for hotel and hospitality properties, especially in popular tourist destinations such as Issyk-Kul and Karakol.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The development of Kyrgyzstan's Commercial Real Estate market can be attributed to several underlying macroeconomic factors. The country has been experiencing steady economic growth in recent years, driven by sectors such as mining, agriculture, and services. This has resulted in increased business activity and investment, leading to a higher demand for commercial real estate. Furthermore, the government of Kyrgyzstan has implemented various reforms to improve the business climate and attract foreign investment. These reforms include simplifying administrative procedures, reducing bureaucracy, and implementing investor-friendly policies. As a result, more foreign companies are entering the market and contributing to the growth of the commercial real estate sector. In conclusion, the Commercial Real Estate market in Kyrgyzstan is experiencing significant development due to customer preferences for mixed-use developments and flexible office spaces, as well as local special circumstances such as the growing tourism industry. These trends are supported by underlying macroeconomic factors, including the country's strategic location, steady economic growth, and investor-friendly policies. As Kyrgyzstan continues to attract businesses and investors, the commercial real estate market is expected to further expand in the coming years.

Data coverage:

Figures are based on value of commercial real estate.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a bottom-up approach. As a basis for evaluating this market, we use national statistical offices. Next, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as share of industry, manufacturing, and services of the GPD, price level index, GDP. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the market, for example, exponential trend smoothing.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Financial market, in a PDF format.

After a challenging period during the coronavirus pandemic, the European commercial real estate sector now faces additional pressures, including inflation, record-high interest rates, and sluggish economic growth. In 2022, these challenges were evident through contracting investment volumes in the two largest markets—the United Kingdom and Germany. Although the shifting economic landscape has impacted all commercial real estate subsectors, industrial and logistics—a property type that demonstrated incredible resilience during the pandemic—continues to be the most popular investment class. The performance of the sector is closely tied to the state of the economy, explaining why cities with flourishing capital markets garner the most interest from investors. In 2023, investors identified London, Paris, and Madrid as the three most attractive markets.

Growing demand for industrial and logistic real estate is prominent in Europe, driven by the increase in online retail sales rather than in-store. All the Nordic countries saw steady growth in their e-commerce sales during the past fifteen years and more, and the growth is expected to continue. Investments in the industrial and logistic real estate industry have generally been at a higher level during the last few years. The highest investment value among European countries in the first half of 2021 was in the United Kingdom, while Sweden topped the list among the Nordic countries, and was fifth in terms of industrial and logistics investment in real estate in Europe that year.