Private Equity - Turkmenistan

  • Turkmenistan
  • In Turkmenistan, the deal value in the Private Equity market is projected to reach US$4.20m in 2024.
  • It is anticipated that this market will exhibit an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2025) of 11.43%, which would result in a projected total amount of US$4.68m by 2025.
  • The average size per deal in the Private Equity market in Turkmenistan is expected to amount to US$2.62m in 2024.
  • When considering a global comparison, it is evident that the highest deal value is achieved the United States, with a figure of US$594.00bn in 2024.
  • Furthermore, in the context of Turkmenistan's Private Equity market, the number of deals is projected to amount to 1.64 by 2025.
  • Turkmenistan's nascent Private Equity market is gradually evolving, driven by strategic government initiatives aimed at attracting foreign investment and enhancing economic diversification.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Private Equity market in Turkmenistan has been showing minimal decline, influenced by limited investment opportunities, regulatory challenges, and the need for greater economic diversification. These factors collectively impact the growth rate, hindering potential advancements in the sector.

Customer preferences:
In Turkmenistan, there is a noticeable shift towards sustainable and socially responsible investment practices within the Private Equity market. Investors are increasingly prioritizing businesses that align with environmental conservation and social welfare, reflecting a growing consciousness about societal impacts. Additionally, younger demographics are driving demand for innovative startups that offer technological solutions, leading to greater interest in sectors like e-commerce and renewable energy. This evolving preference signals a potential evolution in investment strategies to embrace more diverse and impactful opportunities.

Trends in the market:
In Turkmenistan, the Private Equity market is experiencing a significant trend towards investments in sustainable ventures, with a marked emphasis on environmental and social governance (ESG) criteria. Investors are increasingly seeking opportunities that contribute positively to the community and the environment, reflecting a broader global shift towards responsible investing. Additionally, the rise of tech-savvy entrepreneurs is propelling interest in innovative sectors such as renewable energy and digital marketplaces. This evolution is reshaping investment strategies, emphasizing the need for industry stakeholders to adapt to a landscape where sustainability and innovation are paramount for future growth and competitiveness.

Local special circumstances:
In Turkmenistan, the Private Equity market is shaped by the nation's vast natural resources and strategic location along major trade routes, which attract foreign investment. The government is increasingly prioritizing infrastructure development and diversification away from hydrocarbon dependency, encouraging funds to explore sectors like agriculture and renewable energy. Culturally, there is a strong emphasis on community-oriented projects, influencing investors to favor initiatives that enhance local livelihoods. Regulatory reforms aimed at improving the investment climate further stimulate this market's growth, fostering a dynamic environment for sustainable ventures.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Private Equity market in Turkmenistan is influenced by several macroeconomic factors, including central bank policies and interest rates. When the central bank maintains lower interest rates, it stimulates borrowing and investment, making capital more accessible for private equity funds to pursue new ventures. Conversely, rising interest rates could deter investment speed and increase borrowing costs, negatively impacting market activity. Additionally, global economic trends, such as commodity prices and demand for Turkmenistan's natural resources, affect investor sentiment and capital flow. Stable national economic health, driven by prudent fiscal policies, also enhances the attractiveness of private equity opportunities, paving the way for sustainable growth in the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The figures are based on deal value, number of deals, the average size of each deal, and assets under management within the Private Equity market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of key players, industry reports, third-party reports, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as: GDP, total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), high income (% of population), and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), number of high-income persons, and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI).

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Deal Value
  • Average Deal Size
  • Number of Deals
  • Assets Under Management (AUM)
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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