Private Equity - Turkey

  • Turkey
  • The deal value in the Private Equity market is projected to reach US$0.67bn in 2024.
  • It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2025) of 4.48% resulting in a projected total amount of US$0.70bn by 2025.
  • The average size per deal in the Private Equity market amounts to US$51.52m in 2024.
  • From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest deal value is reached in the United States (US$594.00bn in 2024).
  • In the Private Equity market, the number of deals is expected to amount to 15.56 by 2025.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Private Equity market in Turkey is witnessing minimal decline, influenced by factors such as fluctuating economic conditions, regulatory challenges, and varying investor confidence. Despite these hurdles, opportunities for growth remain as companies seek capital for expansion.

Customer preferences:
In Turkey's Private Equity market, there is a noticeable shift towards investing in tech-enabled businesses as consumers embrace digital solutions across various sectors. Increased smartphone penetration and internet access are prompting a demand for e-commerce platforms and fintech services. Additionally, a younger demographic is prioritizing sustainability and ethical practices, influencing investments in green technologies and socially responsible ventures. This evolving consumer landscape is shaping investor strategies, fostering a more dynamic and innovative entrepreneurial ecosystem.

Trends in the market:
In Turkey’s Private Equity market, there is a surge in investments in technology-driven startups, particularly in sectors such as e-commerce and fintech, as the shift to digital continues to accelerate. The increasing reliance on mobile devices and internet connectivity has spurred consumer demand for innovative solutions. Simultaneously, a heightened awareness of sustainability among younger investors is directing capital toward green technologies and socially responsible businesses. These trends are reshaping investor behaviors and creating opportunities for more diverse and impactful investment strategies, ultimately fostering a resilient entrepreneurial environment.

Local special circumstances:
In Turkey's Private Equity market, the unique geographical position bridging Europe and Asia fosters cross-border investments, attracting diverse capital sources. Culturally, a youthful and tech-savvy population drives demand for digital solutions, particularly in e-commerce and fintech. Additionally, regulatory reforms aimed at enhancing investment transparency and protecting minority shareholders have created a more welcoming environment for foreign investors. These local factors contribute to a dynamic market landscape, enabling innovative startups to thrive and addressing consumer needs effectively.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The performance of Turkey's Private Equity market is significantly influenced by overarching macroeconomic factors such as central bank policies, particularly interest rates, and national economic health. When central banks implement lower interest rates, it reduces the cost of capital, enabling private equity firms to leverage investments more aggressively. Conversely, rising rates can dampen investment activity, as borrowing becomes more expensive. Additionally, Turkey's economic stability, inflation rates, and currency fluctuations create an environment that can either attract or deter foreign investment. These elements, coupled with global economic trends, shape the dynamic landscape of private equity, affecting deal flow and exit opportunities.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The figures are based on deal value, number of deals, the average size of each deal, and assets under management within the Private Equity market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of key players, industry reports, third-party reports, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as: GDP, total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), high income (% of population), and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), number of high-income persons, and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI).

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Deal Value
  • Average Deal Size
  • Number of Deals
  • Assets Under Management (AUM)
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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