Private Equity - Sri Lanka

  • Sri Lanka
  • In Sri Lanka, the deal value in the Private Equity market is projected to reach US$2.88m in 2024.
  • It is expected to exhibit an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2025) of 45.83%, leading to a projected total amount of US$4.20m by 2025.
  • The average size per deal in the Private Equity market in Sri Lanka amounts to US$2.88m in 2024.
  • A global comparison reveals that the highest deal value is attained the the United States, with US$594.00bn in 2024.
  • Within the Private Equity market, the number of deals in Sri Lanka is anticipated to reach 1.45 by 2025.
  • Sri Lanka's Private Equity market is increasingly attracting interest as investors seek opportunities in sustainable development and infrastructure growth amid economic recovery efforts.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Private Equity market in Sri Lanka is witnessing a minimal decline in growth, influenced by factors such as economic instability, limited investor confidence, and challenges in regulatory frameworks, which hinder substantial investment opportunities and market expansion.

Customer preferences:
The Private Equity market in Sri Lanka is experiencing a notable shift as investors begin to favor sustainable and socially responsible investment opportunities. This emerging trend reflects changing consumer preferences towards brands that prioritize environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors, driven by a younger demographic that values ethical practices. Additionally, the rise of tech-savvy consumers has led to increased interest in digital platforms and innovative startups, prompting private equity firms to explore ventures that align with these evolving lifestyle factors and cultural expectations.

Trends in the market:
In Sri Lanka, the Private Equity market is undergoing a significant transformation as investors increasingly prioritize sustainable and socially responsible investment opportunities. This shift is characterized by a growing demand for businesses that integrate environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors into their operations. Additionally, there is a noticeable uptick in investments targeting innovative startups, particularly those in the technology sector, as younger, tech-savvy consumers drive preferences for digital solutions and ethical practices. These trends highlight a crucial pivot towards responsible investment strategies, signaling profound implications for industry stakeholders in terms of aligning their portfolios with evolving consumer values.

Local special circumstances:
In Sri Lanka, the Private Equity market is being shaped by the island's unique geographical positioning and rich cultural heritage, which presents both challenges and opportunities for investors. The country’s biodiversity and natural resources drive a focus on sustainable investment in eco-tourism and agriculture, aligning with global ESG trends. Moreover, the regulatory environment is evolving, with the government encouraging foreign direct investment and startup incubators, fostering a vibrant ecosystem for innovation. These local factors enhance investment potential while promoting responsible business practices.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Private Equity market in Sri Lanka is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors, particularly the central bank's monetary policy and interest rate fluctuations. Lower interest rates can enhance capital availability, making borrowing more attractive for both investors and businesses, thereby stimulating private equity investments. Conversely, rising interest rates may curb access to financing, leading to a slowdown in deal activity. Additionally, domestic economic health, reflected in GDP growth and inflation rates, impacts investor confidence and valuation metrics. Global economic trends, such as shifts in commodity prices and foreign investment flows, also resonate within the local market, affecting overall performance and investor sentiment.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The figures are based on deal value, number of deals, the average size of each deal, and assets under management within the Private Equity market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of key players, industry reports, third-party reports, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as: GDP, total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), high income (% of population), and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), number of high-income persons, and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI).

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Deal Value
  • Average Deal Size
  • Number of Deals
  • Assets Under Management (AUM)
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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