Private Equity - Nepal

  • Nepal
  • In Nepal, the deal value in the Private Equity market is projected to reach US$4.26m in 2024.
  • It is expected that this market will demonstrate an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2025) of 11.03%, which will result in a projected total amount of US$4.73m by 2025.
  • The average size per deal in Nepal's Private Equity market is anticipated to amount to US$2.26m in 2024.
  • When looking at a global comparison, it is evident that the highest deal value is achieved the United States, which stands at US$594.00bn in 2024.
  • Furthermore, the number of deals in the Private Equity market in Nepal is expected to amount to 2.58 by 2025.
  • Nepal's Private Equity market is experiencing a gradual maturation, with increasing interest in sustainable investments and a focus on supporting local entrepreneurship.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Private Equity market in Nepal is facing minimal decline, influenced by factors such as limited investment opportunities, regulatory challenges, and macroeconomic uncertainties, which hinder potential growth and investor confidence in the sector.

Customer preferences:
Investors in Nepal's Private Equity market are increasingly attracted to sectors that prioritize sustainability and social impact, reflecting a growing awareness of environmental and social governance (ESG) issues. Moreover, the rise of the middle class has led to heightened demand for innovative startups in technology and renewable energy, prompting private equity firms to reassess traditional investment portfolios. This evolution is further fueled by demographic shifts as younger generations seek to align their investments with personal values, favoring ventures that champion ethical practices and community engagement.

Trends in the market:
In Nepal, the Private Equity market is experiencing a shift towards investments in sustainable ventures, with firms increasingly prioritizing projects that focus on environmental and social governance (ESG) criteria. Simultaneously, the burgeoning middle class is driving demand for innovative startups in technology and renewable energy sectors. This trend is significant as it encourages ethical investment practices, enabling firms to attract younger investors who value community engagement and sustainability. As this trajectory continues, stakeholders must adapt to evolving preferences, fostering a more responsible investment landscape.

Local special circumstances:
In Nepal, the Private Equity market is influenced by its diverse geography, ranging from the Himalayas to urban centers, which shapes investment opportunities in sectors such as tourism and renewable energy. Culturally, a strong sense of community drives local entrepreneurs to seek projects that yield social benefits, aligning with the rising emphasis on social responsibility. Regulatory frameworks are gradually evolving to support foreign investments and facilitate entrepreneurship, fostering a landscape ripe for sustainable ventures. This combination of factors uniquely positions Nepal's market dynamics.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The growth of Nepal's Private Equity market is significantly shaped by macroeconomic factors, notably central bank policy and interest rates. The Nepal Rastra Bank's monetary policy plays a crucial role in shaping investment sentiment; lower interest rates can enhance borrowing potential for entrepreneurs, making private equity financing more attractive. Additionally, global economic trends, such as fluctuations in foreign direct investment and remittances, impact liquidity in the market. A stable national economic environment bolstered by fiscal policies promoting investment can further encourage private equity participation, aligning local ventures with international investor interests and fostering sustainable growth.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The figures are based on deal value, number of deals, the average size of each deal, and assets under management within the Private Equity market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of key players, industry reports, third-party reports, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as: GDP, total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), high income (% of population), and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), number of high-income persons, and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI).

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Deal Value
  • Average Deal Size
  • Number of Deals
  • Assets Under Management (AUM)
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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