Private Equity - Luxembourg

  • Luxembourg
  • In Luxembourg, the deal value in the Private Equity market is projected to reach US$2.96bn in 2024.
  • It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2025) of 29.73%, resulting in a projected total amount of US$3.84bn by 2025.
  • The average size per deal in the Private Equity market in Luxembourg amounts to US$128.70m in 2024.
  • From a global comparison perspective, it is shown that the highest deal value is reached in the United States, with US$594.00bn in 2024.
  • In the Private Equity market, the number of deals in Luxembourg is expected to amount to 23.79 by 2025.
  • Luxembourg's Private Equity market is increasingly attracting global investors due to its favorable regulatory environment and strategic position within Europe.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Private Equity market in Luxembourg has shown a minimal decline recently, influenced by factors such as macroeconomic uncertainties, regulatory changes, and fluctuating investor confidence, which have impacted deal-making activities and overall market sentiment.

Customer preferences:
Investors in the Private Equity market are increasingly gravitating towards sustainable and socially responsible investment opportunities. As societal values shift towards environmental consciousness, firms that prioritize ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) criteria are becoming more attractive. Furthermore, demographic changes, notably the rise of millennials and Gen Z investors, are influencing fund strategies, emphasizing transparency and ethical practices. This evolving interest marks a significant trend towards impact-focused investments, reshaping deal-making dynamics in Luxembourg's Private Equity landscape.

Trends in the market:
In Luxembourg, the Private Equity market is experiencing a notable shift towards sustainable investment strategies, with firms increasingly integrating ESG criteria into their fund portfolios. This trend is driven by a growing demand for impact investments, particularly among younger investors who prioritize ethical practices and transparency. Additionally, there is a rising focus on diversity and inclusion within investment teams, enhancing decision-making processes. As these trends continue to evolve, industry stakeholders must adapt to maintain competitive advantages while aligning with the values of an increasingly conscientious investor base.

Local special circumstances:
In Luxembourg, the Private Equity market thrives due to its strategic location at the heart of Europe and its robust regulatory framework, which fosters investor confidence. The nation’s multilingual workforce and multicultural environment facilitate cross-border transactions and collaboration. Additionally, Luxembourg's commitment to sustainable finance, supported by government initiatives and EU regulations, encourages private equity firms to embrace ESG principles. This unique combination of local factors not only differentiates Luxembourg from other markets but also enhances its appeal as a hub for socially responsible investing.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Private Equity market in Luxembourg is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as central bank policy, particularly interest rates, which directly affect investment costs and capital availability. Low interest rates foster an environment conducive to leveraged buyouts and acquisitions, making it easier for private equity firms to finance deals and enhance returns. Conversely, rising rates can tighten liquidity, potentially slowing down transaction volumes. Additionally, global economic trends, such as inflation and geopolitical stability, can impact investor sentiment and market performance, while national fiscal policies, including tax incentives, further shape Luxembourg's attractiveness as a private equity hub.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The figures are based on deal value, number of deals, the average size of each deal, and assets under management within the Private Equity market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of key players, industry reports, third-party reports, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as: GDP, total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), high income (% of population), and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), number of high-income persons, and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI).

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Deal Value
  • Average Deal Size
  • Number of Deals
  • Assets Under Management (AUM)
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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