Private Equity - Lithuania

  • Lithuania
  • The deal value in the Private Equity market is projected to reach US$0.59bn in 2024.
  • It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2025) of 5.08% resulting in a projected total amount of US$0.62bn by 2025.
  • The average size per deal in the Private Equity market amounts to US$66.03m in 2024.
  • From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest deal value is reached in the United States (US$594.00bn in 2024).
  • In the Private Equity market, the number of deals is expected to amount to 9.17 by 2025.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Private Equity market in Lithuania has been witnessing minimal decline, influenced by factors such as cautious investor sentiment, economic uncertainties, and regulatory challenges. Despite these hurdles, there remains a steady interest in innovative sectors and emerging startups.

Customer preferences:
Investors in Lithuania's Private Equity market are increasingly focusing on sustainable and socially responsible ventures, driven by a growing awareness of environmental issues among consumers. This shift reflects a demographic trend where younger generations prioritize businesses that align with their values of sustainability and ethical practices. Additionally, the rise of digital platforms has fostered a preference for tech-driven solutions, prompting interest in startups that leverage innovation to address societal challenges, ultimately reshaping investment strategies within the market.

Trends in the market:
In Lithuania, the Private Equity market is experiencing a significant shift towards investments in green technology and sustainable businesses, reflecting a heightened focus on environmental sustainability. This trend is particularly notable among younger investors, who increasingly prioritize ethical investments that align with their values. Furthermore, there is a growing emphasis on impact investing, encouraging funds to measure not only financial returns but also social and environmental outcomes. As a result, industry stakeholders must adapt their strategies, nurturing partnerships with innovative startups that address pressing societal challenges, ultimately influencing the broader investment landscape.

Local special circumstances:
In Lithuania, the Private Equity market is uniquely influenced by its small yet dynamic economy and a strong emphasis on innovation. The country's geographic location as a gateway to both Eastern and Western markets fosters a rich startup ecosystem, particularly in technology and sustainability sectors. Culturally, there is a shift towards collective responsibility, driving investors to prioritize projects that contribute to environmental and social well-being. Additionally, favorable regulatory frameworks, such as EU support for green initiatives, enhance opportunities for investment in sustainable ventures, differentiating Lithuania's market dynamics from those of larger, more established economies.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Private Equity market in Lithuania is significantly influenced by overarching macroeconomic factors, particularly central bank policies and interest rates. As the European Central Bank adjusts interest rates to manage inflation and stimulate economic growth, these decisions directly affect the cost of capital for private equity firms. Lower interest rates typically enhance borrowing capacity, encouraging investment in startups and innovative projects, while higher rates may lead to cautious investment strategies. Additionally, Lithuania's national economic health, characterized by steady GDP growth and a focus on digital transformation, creates a conducive environment for private equity firms to thrive, driving interest in technology and sustainable investments.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The figures are based on deal value, number of deals, the average size of each deal, and assets under management within the Private Equity market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of key players, industry reports, third-party reports, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as: GDP, total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), high income (% of population), and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), number of high-income persons, and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI).

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Deal Value
  • Average Deal Size
  • Number of Deals
  • Assets Under Management (AUM)
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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