Private Equity - Indonesia

  • Indonesia
  • In Indonesia, the deal value in the Private Equity market is projected to reach US$0.80bn in 2024.
  • It is anticipated that this market will demonstrate an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2025) of 27.50%, leading to a projected total amount of US$1.02bn by 2025.
  • The average size per deal within Indonesia's Private Equity market is estimated at US$56.82m in 2024.
  • A global comparison indicates that the highest deal value in the Private Equity market occurs in the United States, which stands at US$594.00bn in 2024.
  • Additionally, in Indonesia, the number of deals in the Private Equity market is expected to reach 14.13 by 2025.
  • Indonesia's Private Equity market is increasingly attracting global investors, driven by a robust digital economy and a growing appetite for innovative startups.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Private Equity market in Indonesia is witnessing a minimal decline in growth, influenced by factors such as evolving regulatory frameworks, fluctuating investor confidence, and increased competition among investment firms seeking lucrative opportunities.

Customer preferences:
The Private Equity market in Indonesia is experiencing notable shifts in investment focus, driven by evolving consumer preferences towards sustainability and technology. Investors are increasingly prioritizing startups that champion eco-friendly practices and digital innovation, reflecting a growing awareness of environmental issues and a tech-savvy demographic. Moreover, the rise of the middle class is fueling demand for diverse consumer goods and services, spurring private equity firms to seek opportunities in sectors such as e-commerce, renewable energy, and health tech that cater to these changing lifestyles and values.

Trends in the market:
In Indonesia, the Private Equity market is observing a surge in investments targeting sustainability and technology-driven startups. The increasing consumer demand for eco-friendly products has led to heightened interest in renewable energy and sustainable agriculture. Concurrently, the tech landscape is expanding, with private equity firms investing in fintech and e-commerce platforms that cater to Indonesia's digitally-savvy population. These trends are reshaping investment strategies, driving industry stakeholders to adapt to a more conscious consumer base, ultimately fostering innovation and influencing long-term growth in various sectors.

Local special circumstances:
In Indonesia, the Private Equity market is shaped by its unique cultural diversity and rich natural resources, which drive investments in sustainable industries. The archipelagic nature of the country presents opportunities in renewable energy, particularly solar and marine-based ventures, tailored to the local environment. Additionally, regulatory support for green initiatives and digital transformation stimulates private equity inflow into tech startups. As a result, firms are increasingly prioritizing investments that align with local values and leverage Indonesia's vast digital and ecological potential, fostering innovation within the market.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Private Equity market in Indonesia is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as interest rates, foreign direct investment (FDI), and inflation. Central bank policies, particularly regarding interest rates, play a crucial role in shaping the investment landscape. Lower interest rates typically lead to increased borrowing and liquidity, encouraging private equity firms to finance acquisitions and expand their portfolios. Conversely, rising rates can dampen investment activity, as the cost of capital increases. Additionally, stable inflation and favorable FDI policies attract global investors, further bolstering the private equity market's growth potential in Indonesia's diverse economy.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The figures are based on deal value, number of deals, the average size of each deal, and assets under management within the Private Equity market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of key players, industry reports, third-party reports, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as: GDP, total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), high income (% of population), and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), number of high-income persons, and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI).

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Deal Value
  • Average Deal Size
  • Number of Deals
  • Assets Under Management (AUM)
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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