Private Equity - Estonia

  • Estonia
  • In Estonia, the deal value in the Private Equity market is projected to reach US$4.38m in 2025.
  • It is anticipated that this market will exhibit an annual growth rate (CAGR 2025-2025) of NaN%, leading to a projected total amount of US$4.38m by 2025.
  • The average size per deal in the Private Equity market in Estonia is estimated to be US$0.48m in 2025.
  • A global comparison indicates that the highest deal value is achieved in the United States, where it is US$640.70bn in 2025.
  • Within the Private Equity market, the number of deals in Estonia is expected to reach 9.17 by 2025.
  • Estonia's Private Equity market is increasingly attracting international investors, driven by its robust digital infrastructure and innovative startup ecosystem.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Private Equity market in Estonia is witnessing a minimal decline, influenced by factors such as cautious investor sentiment, regulatory challenges, and the need for innovative investment strategies to adapt to changing economic conditions while maintaining growth potential.

Customer preferences:
In Estonia, private equity investors are increasingly focusing on sustainable and socially responsible ventures, reflecting a shift in consumer preferences toward ethical investment practices. This trend is driven by a younger demographic that prioritizes environmental stewardship and social impact in their purchasing decisions. Additionally, the rise of digitalization has encouraged investments in tech-driven startups that offer innovative solutions to traditional industries, aligning with the growing demand for efficiency and transparency in business operations.

Trends in the market:
In Estonia, the Private Equity Market is increasingly gravitating toward sustainable investment opportunities, with a significant focus on green technologies and socially responsible enterprises. This shift reflects a broader global trend where investors are aligning portfolios with ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) criteria, driven by rising consumer demand for ethical business practices. Additionally, the integration of AI and data analytics is streamlining investment decision-making processes, enhancing transparency, and fostering innovation. Collectively, these trends are reshaping the investment landscape, driving industry stakeholders to adapt or risk obsolescence.

Local special circumstances:
In Estonia, the Private Equity Market is uniquely shaped by its advanced digital infrastructure and a tech-savvy population, fostering an environment ripe for innovation. The country’s strong emphasis on e-governance and digital entrepreneurship attracts foreign investments, particularly in fintech and green tech sectors. Additionally, Estonia’s commitment to EU regulations enhances investor confidence, promoting transparency and adherence to ESG standards. This confluence of factors positions Estonia as an attractive hub for sustainable investments, differentiating it from larger, more traditional markets.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Private Equity Market in Estonia is significantly influenced by overarching macroeconomic factors such as central bank policies, particularly interest rates, which impact the cost of capital for investments. Lower interest rates encourage borrowing, enabling private equity firms to leverage funds for acquisitions and growth, thereby enhancing returns. Additionally, Estonia's stable economic growth and low inflation create a conducive environment for investment. The country's focus on digital innovation attracts venture capital, further stimulating the market. Global economic trends, including shifts towards sustainability, also play a vital role, as investors seek opportunities in the flourishing fintech and green tech sectors.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The figures are based on deal value, number of deals, the average size of each deal, and assets under management within the Private Equity market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of key players, industry reports, third-party reports, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as: GDP, total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), high income (% of population), and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), number of high-income persons, and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI).

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Deal Value
  • Average Deal Size
  • Number of Deals
  • Assets Under Management (AUM)
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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