Private Equity - Armenia

  • Armenia
  • The deal value in the Private Equity market is projected to reach US$5.19m in 2024.
  • It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2025) of 9.44% resulting in a projected total amount of US$5.68m by 2025.
  • The average size per deal in the Private Equity market amounts to US$2.28m in 2024.
  • From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest deal value is reached in the United States (US$594.00bn in 2024).
  • In the Private Equity market, the number of deals is expected to amount to 2.33 by 2025.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Private Equity market in Armenia is witnessing a minimal decline, influenced by factors such as political uncertainty, limited access to capital, and a nascent investment ecosystem, which contribute to a cautious approach among potential investors.

Customer preferences:
In Armenia, investors are increasingly focusing on sustainable and socially responsible ventures, reflecting a growing awareness of environmental and social governance (ESG) principles among consumers. This shift is marked by a rising demand for businesses that prioritize eco-friendly practices and community impact, prompting private equity firms to explore opportunities in renewable energy, sustainable agriculture, and ethical consumer goods. Additionally, a younger demographic is driving interest in tech-driven startups that align with modern, digital lifestyles, further reshaping investment priorities.

Trends in the market:
In Armenia, the Private Equity Market is seeing a surge in investments aimed at sustainable enterprises, as firms are increasingly prioritizing environmental and social governance (ESG) criteria. This trend is further accelerated by a younger, socially conscious population that favors startups focused on renewable energy and sustainable agriculture. Moreover, the tech sector is gaining momentum, attracting private equity interest in digital innovations that resonate with modern consumer lifestyles. These shifts are reshaping investment strategies and encouraging industry stakeholders to adapt to evolving market demands, highlighting the importance of sustainability and technological advancement.

Local special circumstances:
In Armenia, the Private Equity Market is uniquely shaped by its geographical positioning and cultural heritage, which foster a rich tapestry of opportunities in sustainable investments. The country's diverse ecosystems support initiatives in renewable energy, while its historical emphasis on agriculture fuels interest in sustainable farming practices. Additionally, the regulatory environment is gradually evolving, with government incentives aimed at encouraging foreign investment in green technologies. This combination of local factors creates a compelling landscape for private equity, driving innovative solutions that align with both community values and global sustainability goals.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Private Equity Market in Armenia is influenced significantly by macroeconomic factors such as interest rates, inflation, and overall economic stability. Central bank policies, particularly adjustments in interest rates, play a critical role in shaping investment dynamics. Lower interest rates facilitate cheaper borrowing costs, encouraging private equity firms to leverage capital for investments. Conversely, rising rates may dampen appetite for riskier assets, leading to a more cautious investment stance. Additionally, macroeconomic stability fosters investor confidence, while fiscal policies aimed at promoting sustainable development and innovation further attract private equity into key sectors, driving economic growth and aligning with global investment trends.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The figures are based on deal value, number of deals, the average size of each deal, and assets under management within the Private Equity market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of key players, industry reports, third-party reports, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as: GDP, total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), high income (% of population), and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), number of high-income persons, and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI).

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Deal Value
  • Average Deal Size
  • Number of Deals
  • Assets Under Management (AUM)
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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