Precious Metal Derivatives - Portugal

Portugal

The nominal value in the Precious Metal Derivatives market is projected to reach US$30.31bn in 2024.
It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 5.58% resulting in a projected total amount of US$39.77bn by 2029.
The average price per contract in the Precious Metal Derivatives market amounts to US$0.12 in 2024.
From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached in the United States (US$11,920.00bn in 2024).
In the Precious Metal Derivatives market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 311.60k by 2029.

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Analyst Opinion

The Precious Metal Derivatives market in Portugal has been experiencing notable developments and trends recently. Customer preferences in Portugal for Precious Metal Derivatives have been influenced by a growing interest in diversifying investment portfolios and hedging against market uncertainties.

Investors are increasingly turning to these financial instruments to manage risks and potentially benefit from price fluctuations in the precious metals market. Trends in the market indicate a shift towards more sophisticated derivative products in Portugal, catering to the evolving needs of investors. There is a noticeable increase in the trading volume of options and futures contracts linked to precious metals, reflecting a growing appetite for leveraged trading and speculative opportunities.

Local special circumstances, such as the country's historical ties to gold and silver mining, play a role in shaping the Precious Metal Derivatives market in Portugal. The rich heritage in precious metals has instilled a cultural affinity towards these assets, driving interest in derivative products based on gold, silver, and other metals. Underlying macroeconomic factors, including global economic uncertainties and inflation concerns, have also contributed to the development of the Precious Metal Derivatives market in Portugal.

Investors view precious metals as a safe haven during turbulent times, leading to increased demand for derivative instruments as a way to gain exposure to these assets without owning physical commodities.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.