Precious Metal Derivatives - Nigeria

The nominal value in the Precious Metal Derivatives market is projected to reach US$20.01bn in 2024.
It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 3.59% resulting in a projected total amount of US$23.86bn by 2029.
The average price per contract in the Precious Metal Derivatives market amounts to US$0.04 in 2024.
From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached United States (US$11.92tn in 2024).
In the Precious Metal Derivatives market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 653.50k by 2029.

Definition:

The Precious Metal Derivatives market refers to derivatives of precious metals such as gold or silver. These include financial vehicles such as options and futures. Derivatives allow investors to profit from a commodity’s value development without owning the physical commodity (e.g. instead of owning a unit of gold, an investor could own a derivative of gold). Therefore, physical commodities are out of scope in this analysis.

Structure:

The market contains the following KPIs: annual notional value, the number of traded contracts, the open interest (number of outstanding contracts at the end of a year), the average notional value per contract as well as the price data of popular specific derivatives of this category.

Additional information:

Examples of popular precious metal derivatives are gold, silver, or platinum.

Precious Metal Derivatives, e.g. Gold, Silver, Platinum

Physical precious metal commodities

The demand for Precious Metal Derivatives in Nigeria has been steadily increasing in recent years.

Customer preferences: Investors in Nigeria are increasingly turning to Precious Metal Derivatives as a way to diversify their investment portfolios and hedge against inflation and currency fluctuations. The allure of potential high returns and the ability to trade these derivatives easily on various platforms have also attracted more customers to the market.

Trends in the market: One noticeable trend in the Precious Metal Derivatives market in Nigeria is the growing popularity of gold derivatives. Gold has always been a traditional safe-haven asset, and investors in Nigeria are showing a strong preference for gold derivatives as a way to protect their investments during times of economic uncertainty. The increasing interest in gold derivatives is also influenced by global trends and geopolitical events that impact the price of gold.

Local special circumstances: Nigeria's unique economic landscape, characterized by fluctuating currency values and inflation rates, has contributed to the growing demand for Precious Metal Derivatives. As investors seek ways to safeguard their wealth against these economic challenges, the appeal of derivatives tied to precious metals like gold and silver continues to rise. Additionally, the ease of access to online trading platforms has made it more convenient for Nigerian investors to participate in the derivatives market.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The development of the Precious Metal Derivatives market in Nigeria is also influenced by broader macroeconomic factors, such as government policies, interest rates, and global market trends. As the Nigerian economy continues to evolve and integrate with global markets, the demand for Precious Metal Derivatives is expected to grow further. Additionally, regulatory frameworks and investor protection measures play a crucial role in shaping the dynamics of the derivatives market in Nigeria.

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Financial market, in a PDF format.

Precious metals have long been seen as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty. When stock markets are volatile or currencies devalue, investors flock to precious metals like gold and silver as a store of value, driving their prices up. Gold, in particular, stands out as the most popular choice for protecting wealth in times of uncertainty, with central banks around the world holding vast reserves to safeguard against currency fluctuations and political upheaval. Also, the demand for gold as an investment outweighs its demand for industrial uses - more so if we also consider owning jewelry as a form of investment. This pattern contrasts sharply to other precious metals. Silver, for instance, has a much stronger industrial demand, due to its use in sectors like electronics, solar panels, and medical equipment. Platinum follows a similar pattern, with industrial demand outpacing investment demand, due to the its many different end uses.