Precious Metal Derivatives - Hungary

  • Hungary
  • The nominal value in the Precious Metal Derivatives market is projected to reach US$21.13bn in 2024.
  • It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 5.70% resulting in a projected total amount of US$27.88bn by 2029.
  • The average price per contract in the Precious Metal Derivatives market amounts to US$0.14 in 2024.
  • From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached in the United States (US$11,920.00bn in 2024).
  • In the Precious Metal Derivatives market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 192.70k by 2029.
 
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Analyst Opinion

Hungary, a country with a rich history in mining and metallurgy, has seen an interesting evolution in its Precious Metal Derivatives market.

Customer preferences:
Investors in Hungary are increasingly turning to Precious Metal Derivatives as a way to diversify their portfolios and hedge against market volatility. The allure of these derivatives lies in their ability to provide exposure to precious metals without the need for physical ownership.

Trends in the market:
One noticeable trend in Hungary is the growing demand for gold derivatives, driven by a combination of global economic uncertainty and local inflation concerns. Investors see gold as a safe haven asset during times of instability, leading to a surge in trading volumes for gold derivatives in the country.

Local special circumstances:
Hungary's unique position within the European Union and its close economic ties to neighboring countries play a significant role in shaping the Precious Metal Derivatives market. The country's regulatory framework and market infrastructure are conducive to derivative trading, attracting both domestic and international investors looking to capitalize on price movements in precious metals.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The performance of the Hungarian economy, inflation rates, and interest rate policies set by the central bank all influence investor sentiment towards Precious Metal Derivatives. As the market continues to mature, factors such as geopolitical events and global economic indicators will also play a crucial role in shaping the direction of the Precious Metal Derivatives market in Hungary.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Value Development
  • Volume
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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