Commodities - Nicaragua

Nicaragua

The nominal value in the Commodities market is projected to reach US$17.34bn in 2024.
It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 4.48% resulting in a projected total amount of US$21.59bn by 2029.
The average price per contract in the Commodities market amounts to US$0.05 in 2024.
From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached in the United States (US$53,690.00bn in 2024).
In the Commodities market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 321.60k by 2029.

Market

Region

Region comparison

Currency

Analyst Opinion

The Commodities market in Nicaragua is experiencing a shift in customer preferences, driving specific trends in the market.

Customer preferences: Nicaraguan investors are increasingly showing interest in commodities as a way to diversify their investment portfolios and hedge against market volatility. With a growing awareness of the potential returns from commodities trading, more investors are looking into this alternative asset class.

Trends in the market: One noticeable trend in the Nicaraguan Commodities market is the rising popularity of commodity futures contracts. Investors are attracted to the potential for high returns and the opportunity to speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset. This trend is in line with the global shift towards financial derivatives in commodity trading.

Local special circumstances: Nicaragua's economy heavily relies on agriculture, with commodities like coffee, sugar, and beef playing a significant role in the country's exports. This reliance on agricultural commodities creates a natural connection for local investors to engage in commodity trading, as they are already familiar with the dynamics of these markets.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The political stability and economic growth in Nicaragua are also contributing to the development of the Commodities market. A stable political environment fosters investor confidence, while economic growth provides more disposable income for individuals to explore alternative investment opportunities like commodities trading. Additionally, the government's efforts to improve infrastructure and trade relations are enhancing the overall investment climate in the country.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.