Commodities - Moldova

Moldova

The nominal value in the Commodities market is projected to reach US$16.30bn in 2024.
It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 4.02% resulting in a projected total amount of US$19.85bn by 2029.
The average price per contract in the Commodities market amounts to US$0.04 in 2024.
From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached in the United States (US$53,690.00bn in 2024).
In the Commodities market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 437.40k by 2029.

Market

Region

Region comparison

Currency

Analyst Opinion

The Commodities market in Moldova has been experiencing a significant increase in trading activities in recent years.

Customer preferences: Traders in Moldova have shown a growing interest in investing in Commodities as a way to diversify their portfolios and potentially earn higher returns. The appeal of Commodities lies in their ability to provide a hedge against inflation and geopolitical uncertainties, which are particularly relevant in the current global economic landscape.

Trends in the market: One notable trend in the Commodities market in Moldova is the increasing participation of individual investors alongside institutional players. This trend is driven by the availability of online trading platforms and the growing awareness of the benefits of including Commodities in investment strategies. Additionally, the market has witnessed a rise in the trading of complex financial derivatives, reflecting a growing sophistication among investors in Moldova.

Local special circumstances: Moldova's unique geopolitical position and economic ties with neighboring countries play a significant role in shaping the Commodities market. The country's reliance on imported energy resources and agricultural products influences the demand for Commodities and their derivatives. Moreover, the regulatory environment in Moldova is evolving to accommodate the growing interest in financial derivatives, providing a conducive atmosphere for market development.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The macroeconomic landscape in Moldova, characterized by stable economic growth and a relatively low inflation rate, has contributed to the positive momentum in the Commodities market. As investors seek ways to preserve and grow their wealth in a low-interest-rate environment, Commodities offer an attractive investment opportunity. Furthermore, the government's efforts to enhance transparency and investor protection have bolstered confidence in the market, driving further growth in Commodities trading activities.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.