Commodities

The nominal value in the Commodities market is projected to reach US$62.82bn in 2024.
It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 3.26% resulting in a projected total amount of US$73.73bn by 2029.
The average price per contract in the Commodities market amounts to US$0.10 in 2024.
From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached United States (US$53.69tn in 2024).
In the Commodities market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 684.70k by 2029.

Definition:

The commodities market refers to derivatives of commodities. These include financial vehicles such as options and futures. Derivatives allow investors to profit from a commodity’s value development without owning the physical commodity (e.g. instead of owning a unit of Gold, an investor could own a derivative of Gold). Therefore, physical commodities are out of scope in this analysis.

Structure:

The commodities market comprises derivatives of precious metals, industrial metals, energy products, agricultural products & the Emission Trade System. The segments of precious metals, industrial metals, energy products, and agricultural products are also providing price data of popular specific derivatives. The segment data of the Emission Trade System (ETS) is only provided for countries where an ETS is in place (therefore the number of countries where data is shown is reduced in comparison to other segments).

Additional information:

The market contains the following KPIs: annual notional value, the number of traded contracts, the open interest (number of outstanding contracts at the end of a year) as well as the average notional value per contract. Furthermore, the share of futures and options is provided for these KPIs to display even more insights into this market.

Options & Futures
Precious Metal Derivatives
Industry Metal Derivatives
Energy Product Derivatives
Agricultural Product Derivatives
Emission Trading System

Physical commodities
Other Derivative types
other Commodity Types

Ethiopia, known for its rich cultural heritage and diverse landscapes, is also experiencing interesting developments in its Commodities market. Customer preferences in Ethiopia are gradually shifting towards alternative investment options such as Commodities.

Investors are increasingly looking for ways to diversify their portfolios and hedge against market volatility, driving the demand for Commodities in the country. Trends in the Commodities market in Ethiopia indicate a growing interest in financial derivatives as a means of investment. This trend is influenced by global market dynamics and the increasing awareness among investors about the potential benefits of including Commodities in their investment strategies.

Local special circumstances, such as the government's efforts to boost the financial sector and attract foreign investment, are also contributing to the development of the Commodities market in Ethiopia. These initiatives create a conducive environment for market growth and expansion, attracting both local and international investors to participate in the market. Underlying macroeconomic factors, including stable economic growth, rising disposable incomes, and a growing middle class, are further fueling the demand for Commodities in Ethiopia.

As the economy continues to develop and diversify, the Commodities market is expected to play a significant role in the country's financial landscape. Overall, the Commodities market in Ethiopia is witnessing a positive trajectory driven by changing customer preferences, global market trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors.

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Financial market, in a PDF format.