Energy Product Derivatives - Central Asia

  • Central Asia
  • The nominal value in the Energy Product Derivatives market is projected to reach US$31.07bn in 2024.
  • It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 4.72% resulting in a projected total amount of US$39.13bn by 2029.
  • The average price per contract in the Energy Product Derivatives market amounts to US$0.06 in 2024.
  • From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached in the United States (US$26,910.00bn in 2024).
  • In the Energy Product Derivatives market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 619.70k by 2029.
 
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Analyst Opinion

Amidst the evolving landscape of the financial market in Central Asia, the Energy Product Derivatives market is experiencing notable developments. Customer preferences in Central Asia are shifting towards a more diversified investment portfolio, with a growing interest in energy product derivatives.

Investors are increasingly looking for alternative investment options beyond traditional assets, seeking higher returns and portfolio risk management through derivatives in the energy sector. Trends in the market indicate a rising demand for energy product derivatives in Central Asia, driven by the region's strategic geographical position as a key energy transit hub. The market is witnessing an influx of foreign investors looking to capitalize on the region's energy resources and infrastructure projects, leading to a surge in derivative trading activities.

Local special circumstances play a significant role in shaping the Energy Product Derivatives market in Central Asia. The region's rich energy reserves, particularly in oil and natural gas, attract both domestic and international investors, fostering a conducive environment for derivative market growth. Additionally, government initiatives to promote energy sector development further stimulate market participation and liquidity.

Underlying macroeconomic factors, such as geopolitical stability and regulatory reforms, are instrumental in driving the growth of the Energy Product Derivatives market in Central Asia. Stable political environments and supportive regulatory frameworks enhance investor confidence and attract foreign capital, contributing to the expansion of derivative trading volumes in the region. Moreover, economic diversification efforts and infrastructure investments bolster the energy sector, creating opportunities for derivative market expansion and innovation.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Value Development
  • Volume
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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