Commodities

The nominal value in the Commodities market is projected to reach US$116.30bn in 2024.
It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 3.52% resulting in a projected total amount of US$138.20bn by 2029.
The average price per contract in the Commodities market amounts to US$0.18 in 2024.
From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached United States (US$53.69tn in 2024).
In the Commodities market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 712.20k by 2029.

Definition:

The commodities market refers to derivatives of commodities. These include financial vehicles such as options and futures. Derivatives allow investors to profit from a commodity’s value development without owning the physical commodity (e.g. instead of owning a unit of Gold, an investor could own a derivative of Gold). Therefore, physical commodities are out of scope in this analysis.

Structure:

The commodities market comprises derivatives of precious metals, industrial metals, energy products, agricultural products & the Emission Trade System. The segments of precious metals, industrial metals, energy products, and agricultural products are also providing price data of popular specific derivatives. The segment data of the Emission Trade System (ETS) is only provided for countries where an ETS is in place (therefore the number of countries where data is shown is reduced in comparison to other segments).

Additional information:

The market contains the following KPIs: annual notional value, the number of traded contracts, the open interest (number of outstanding contracts at the end of a year) as well as the average notional value per contract. Furthermore, the share of futures and options is provided for these KPIs to display even more insights into this market.

Options & Futures
Precious Metal Derivatives
Industry Metal Derivatives
Energy Product Derivatives
Agricultural Product Derivatives
Emission Trading System

Physical commodities
Other Derivative types
other Commodity Types

Over the past few years, the Commodities market in Bulgaria has been experiencing a notable shift in dynamics and growth. Customer preferences in the Commodities market in Bulgaria are increasingly leaning towards more diversified investment portfolios, seeking higher returns and risk management strategies.

Investors are showing a growing interest in commodities as an alternative investment to traditional securities, driven by the potential for portfolio diversification and hedging against inflation. Trends in the market indicate a rising demand for commodity derivatives in Bulgaria, with investors looking to capitalize on price movements and volatility in various commodity markets. The increasing adoption of online trading platforms has made it easier for retail investors to access and trade commodity derivatives, further fueling market growth.

Local special circumstances, such as Bulgaria's strategic geographical location and its strong ties to other European markets, play a significant role in shaping the Commodities market. The country's position as a gateway between Europe and Asia has contributed to the development of a vibrant trading environment for commodity derivatives, attracting both domestic and international investors. Underlying macroeconomic factors, including global economic conditions, geopolitical events, and regulatory changes, also influence the Commodities market in Bulgaria.

As the market becomes more interconnected with the global economy, factors such as trade agreements, supply chain disruptions, and currency fluctuations can impact commodity prices and trading activities in the country.

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

This report presents a comprehensive analysis and additional information on the Financial market, in a PDF format.