Agricultural Product Derivatives - South America

  • South America
  • The nominal value in the Agricultural Product Derivatives market is projected to reach US$1.04tn in 2024.
  • It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 2.21% resulting in a projected total amount of US$1.16tn by 2029.
  • The average price per contract in the Agricultural Product Derivatives market amounts to US$0.19 in 2024.
  • From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached in the United States (US$12,320.00bn in 2024).
  • In the Agricultural Product Derivatives market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 5.78m by 2029.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Agricultural Product Derivatives market in South America is experiencing significant growth and development. Customer preferences in South America are shifting towards more diverse investment options, including agricultural product derivatives, as investors seek to diversify their portfolios and hedge against market volatility.

Trends in the market show an increase in trading volume and liquidity for agricultural product derivatives in countries like Brazil and Argentina, driven by growing interest from institutional investors and speculators looking to capitalize on price fluctuations. Local special circumstances, such as the abundance of agricultural resources and a strong agricultural sector in many South American countries, contribute to the attractiveness of agricultural product derivatives as financial instruments for investors looking to gain exposure to this sector. Underlying macroeconomic factors, such as fluctuating commodity prices, government policies related to agriculture, and global demand for agricultural products, play a crucial role in shaping the Agricultural Product Derivatives market in South America.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Value Development
  • Volume
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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