Traditional Retail Banking - Guinea

  • Guinea
  • In Guinea, the Traditional Retail Banking market market is anticipated to witness a substantial increase in Net Interest Income, projected to reach US$0.92bn by 2024.
  • Furthermore, it is expected to exhibit a steady annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 5.28%, leading to a market volume of US$1.19bn by 2029.
  • When compared globally, China is forecasted to generate the highest Net Interest Income, amounting to US$2,426.0bn in 2024.
  • Despite the increasing popularity of digital banking, traditional retail banking continues to dominate the banking market in Guinea due to limited access to technology and a preference for face-to-face interactions.

Key regions: France, Brazil, Germany, United Kingdom, United States

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Traditional Retail Banking market in Guinea is experiencing notable developments driven by shifting customer preferences, emerging trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Guinea are increasingly seeking convenient and accessible banking services. With the rise of digitalization and the growing penetration of smartphones, there is a noticeable preference for online and mobile banking solutions. This trend aligns with global patterns where customers are opting for more efficient and tech-enabled banking experiences.

Trends in the market:
In Guinea, a key trend shaping the Traditional Retail Banking market is the expansion of branch networks in urban areas. Despite the digitalization wave, many customers still value in-person interactions for complex financial transactions or advisory services. As a result, banks are strategically increasing their physical presence to cater to diverse customer needs. This trend contrasts with the global shift towards digital banking, highlighting the importance of localized strategies.

Local special circumstances:
One of the unique aspects influencing the Traditional Retail Banking market in Guinea is the prevalence of informal financial systems. Informal savings groups, community-based lending practices, and microfinance institutions play a significant role in the financial ecosystem, especially in rural areas. This coexistence of formal and informal banking channels presents both challenges and opportunities for traditional banks operating in the country.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The macroeconomic landscape in Guinea, including factors such as GDP growth, inflation rates, and regulatory environment, significantly impacts the Traditional Retail Banking market. Economic stability and government policies play a crucial role in shaping the industry's growth trajectory. Additionally, factors like foreign investment, infrastructure development, and political stability influence the overall banking sector's performance in the country.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Net Interest Income, Bank Account Penetration rate, the value of Deposits, the number of depositors, the value of Loans, the number of borrowers, Credit Card Interest Income, the number of ATMs as well as the number of Bank Branches.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data provided by the IMF, World Bank and the annual reports of the top 1000 Banks by asset size. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, deposit interest rates, lending interest rates or bank account penetration rates. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited to forecast financial services for digital as well as traditional products and services.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Net Interest Income
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Deposits
  • Loans
  • Credit Card Interest Income
  • ATMs & Bank Branches
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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