Traditional Retail Banking - EAEU

  • EAEU
  • In the EAEU, the Traditional Retail Banking market market is projected to witness a substantial increase in Net Interest Income, reaching an estimated value of US$39.56bn in 2024.
  • This reflects the financial performance of the banking sector within the EAEU member countries.
  • The market is expected to experience a modest annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 1.77%, resulting in a market volume of approximately US$43.18bn by 2029.
  • When comparing the global market, it is worth noting that China is expected to generate the highest Net Interest Income, with an estimated value of US$2,426.0bn in 2024.
  • This highlights the dominant position of the US banking sector in terms of revenue generation.
  • In the EAEU, traditional retail banking is experiencing a shift towards digitalization, with banks like Sberbank leading the way in offering online banking services.

Key regions: France, Brazil, Germany, United Kingdom, United States

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Traditional Retail Banking market in EAEU is experiencing significant growth and evolution, driven by various factors shaping the industry in the region.

Customer preferences:
Customers in the EAEU region are increasingly seeking convenience, personalized services, and digital banking solutions. This shift in preferences is pushing traditional retail banks to enhance their digital offerings, improve customer experience, and provide more tailored financial products and services to meet the evolving needs of their clients.

Trends in the market:
One prominent trend in the EAEU Traditional Retail Banking market is the rising adoption of mobile banking and online platforms. This trend is fueled by the growing tech-savvy population in the region and the convenience these digital channels offer to customers in managing their finances. Additionally, there is a noticeable trend towards banks investing in data analytics and AI technologies to better understand customer behavior and provide more targeted services.

Local special circumstances:
In the EAEU region, regulatory frameworks and government policies play a significant role in shaping the Traditional Retail Banking market. The harmonization of banking regulations among EAEU member states has facilitated cross-border banking operations and increased competition in the market. Moreover, cultural preferences and local market dynamics influence the product offerings and marketing strategies of traditional retail banks in the region.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The macroeconomic environment in the EAEU, including factors such as GDP growth, inflation rates, and interest rates, has a direct impact on the Traditional Retail Banking market. Economic stability and growth in the region contribute to increased consumer confidence, higher demand for banking services, and overall market expansion. Additionally, geopolitical developments and trade agreements among EAEU member states can influence the flow of capital and investment opportunities in the banking sector.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Net Interest Income, Bank Account Penetration rate, the value of Deposits, the number of depositors, the value of Loans, the number of borrowers, Credit Card Interest Income, the number of ATMs as well as the number of Bank Branches.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data provided by the IMF, World Bank and the annual reports of the top 1000 Banks by asset size. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, deposit interest rates, lending interest rates or bank account penetration rates. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited to forecast financial services for digital as well as traditional products and services.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Net Interest Income
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Deposits
  • Loans
  • Credit Card Interest Income
  • ATMs & Bank Branches
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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