Traditional Retail Banking - ASEAN

  • ASEAN
  • In ASEAN, the Traditional Retail Banking market market is anticipated to witness a significant increase in Net Interest Income, with a projected value of US$76.51bn in 2024.
  • Looking ahead, it is expected that the Net Interest Income will continue to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 2.48%, leading to a market volume of US$86.46bn by 2029.
  • When compared globally, China will dominate in terms of Net Interest Income generation, with a staggering amount of US$2,426.0bn in 2024.
  • In the traditional retail banking market in ASEAN, Indonesia is experiencing a shift towards digital banking due to its large population and growing smartphone penetration.

Key regions: France, Brazil, Germany, United Kingdom, United States

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Traditional Retail Banking market in ASEAN is experiencing dynamic changes driven by shifting customer preferences, evolving trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors.

Customer preferences:
Customers in ASEAN countries are increasingly seeking convenience, personalized services, and digital banking solutions. With the rise of tech-savvy consumers, there is a growing demand for seamless online and mobile banking experiences. Moreover, customers are placing greater emphasis on financial literacy and transparency, influencing their choices in traditional retail banking services.

Trends in the market:
In Singapore, the Traditional Retail Banking market is witnessing a trend towards sustainable and socially responsible banking practices. Customers are showing a preference for banks that prioritize environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors in their operations. This trend is reshaping product offerings and marketing strategies in the banking sector, with institutions incorporating ESG principles into their core business models.

Local special circumstances:
In Indonesia, the Traditional Retail Banking market is influenced by the country's diverse demographic landscape and geographical spread. As a result, banks are focusing on expanding their branch networks to reach unbanked populations in rural areas. Additionally, the government's initiatives to promote financial inclusion are driving partnerships between banks and local communities to provide accessible banking services.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Traditional Retail Banking market in Malaysia is impacted by macroeconomic factors such as interest rates and economic stability. Fluctuations in interest rates influence borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, affecting their demand for banking products. Economic stability plays a crucial role in shaping consumer confidence and spending patterns, which in turn impact the overall growth of the retail banking sector.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Net Interest Income, Bank Account Penetration rate, the value of Deposits, the number of depositors, the value of Loans, the number of borrowers, Credit Card Interest Income, the number of ATMs as well as the number of Bank Branches.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data provided by the IMF, World Bank and the annual reports of the top 1000 Banks by asset size. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, deposit interest rates, lending interest rates or bank account penetration rates. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited to forecast financial services for digital as well as traditional products and services.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Net Interest Income
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Deposits
  • Loans
  • Credit Card Interest Income
  • ATMs & Bank Branches
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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